Comments on: The Attrition War, Methodology notes http://ussmariner.com/2005/09/05/attrition-war-methodology-notes/ Seattle Mariners and general baseball discussion with David Cameron and Derek Zumsteg Sat, 21 Nov 2009 14:00:02 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: Jeff M http://ussmariner.com/2005/09/05/attrition-war-methodology-notes/comment-page-1/#comment-68840 Jeff M Tue, 13 Sep 2005 17:32:18 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=2959#comment-68840 I just followed a link from DetroitTigersWeblog.com. This was definitely a very interesting read and I'm glad to see you openly discuss the methodologies. There are obviously limits to how far you can take this, but I think you could have factored in organization strength simply by using a league wide prospect ranking, rather than team based. The Tigers have certainly had a lot of players crack their Top 10 list briefly, only to disappear completely when it became obvious that they only made it due to the lack of real prospects in the organization. I think this has skewed their ranking, as a large number of real prospects (take a look at the last 6 first rounder picks) have flamed out. As a side note, Bonderman, Zumaya, and Verlander are sidelined with supposedly minor arm injuries at the moment. Thanks for tackling such an important, yet often overlooked issue. I just followed a link from DetroitTigersWeblog.com. This was definitely a very interesting read and I’m glad to see you openly discuss the methodologies. There are obviously limits to how far you can take this, but I think you could have factored in organization strength simply by using a league wide prospect ranking, rather than team based.

The Tigers have certainly had a lot of players crack their Top 10 list briefly, only to disappear completely when it became obvious that they only made it due to the lack of real prospects in the organization. I think this has skewed their ranking, as a large number of real prospects (take a look at the last 6 first rounder picks) have flamed out.

As a side note, Bonderman, Zumaya, and Verlander are sidelined with supposedly minor arm injuries at the moment.

Thanks for tackling such an important, yet often overlooked issue.

]]> By: Mat http://ussmariner.com/2005/09/05/attrition-war-methodology-notes/comment-page-1/#comment-66864 Mat Tue, 06 Sep 2005 06:23:02 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=2959#comment-66864 Duly noted. It's nice to see the full disclosure here, but looking at them, I can't think of any team off hand that would have been systematically hurt or hindered by your system. Just getting your first approximation to the answer seems to be a good step in the right direction, though. Once again, excellent work. Duly noted. It’s nice to see the full disclosure here, but looking at them, I can’t think of any team off hand that would have been systematically hurt or hindered by your system. Just getting your first approximation to the answer seems to be a good step in the right direction, though. Once again, excellent work.

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