Game 146, Mariners at Royals

Dave · September 14, 2006 at 4:24 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Washburn vs Perez, 5:10 pm.

Anyone want to try to explain Odalis Perez’s career path? Two years ago, he was a heavy groundballer who could miss bats and he posted a ridiculously high 79% LOB% which gave him an unsustainably low ERA and made it look like a breakout year. Last year, his walk/strikeout/home run rates were pretty much the same, but his LOB% went from one of the best in the league to one of the worst, and his ERA went up a point and a half. He also spent half the season on the DL.

He comes back this year, gets demoted to the bullpen, sees his strikeout rate go through the floor but simultaneously cuts his walk rate, basically becoming a Ryan Franklin type pitcher, but continues to allow almost everyone who reaches base to score. He makes a bunch of stupid comments, and the Dodgers give away a decent prospect to the Royals in turn for taking his salary off their hands. Since coming to Kansas City, his walk and strikeout rates jump back, but now he’s an extreme flyball pitcher, and he STILL can’t strand runners to save his life.

Basic skillsets are generally pretty stable, even if the results aren’t. But Odalis Perez’s skillset is all over the board, and he’s now posted ridiculously low strand rates the past two years, despite being a pretty decent pitcher with the bases empty.

He’s the kind of pitcher who makes you want to throw your hands in the air and say who knows. I wouldn’t be surprised if he threw a perfect game tonight, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he didn’t last two innings.

1. Ichiro, CF
2. Beltre, 3B
3. Betancourt, SS
4. Ibanez, LF
5. Sexson, 1B
6. Perez, DH
7. Johjima, C
8. Lopez, 2B
9. WFB, RF

Comments

173 Responses to “Game 146, Mariners at Royals”

  1. RaoulDuke37 on September 14th, 2006 4:25 pm

    What’s his ERA look like? Should we give him 4 years/40 million?

    :)

  2. RaoulDuke37 on September 14th, 2006 4:26 pm

    6.24… ouch

  3. Josh on September 14th, 2006 4:30 pm

    6.24… ouch

    Give that man a contract!

  4. Thingray on September 14th, 2006 4:40 pm

    “But Odalis Perez’s skillset is all over the board”

    No kidding!

    “I wouldn’t be surprised if he threw a perfect game tonight, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he didn’t last two innings.”

    Sounds like some of our pitchers!

  5. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 4:41 pm

    Who does Perez remind you guys of? (Hint: Pitches for Padres, last name is a recreational area.)

  6. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 4:42 pm

    And Princess Willie is playing, of course!

  7. Josh on September 14th, 2006 4:43 pm

    While I don’t tend to think too much of pitchers’ LOB rates (in terms of judging their quality), I do think it is safe to say that there are some exceptions who will do particularly better in one case (empty vs. men on) than in the other.

    Some might simply have concentration issues facing batter after batter with none on, and focus better when there are runners on.

    Some may become flustered too easily when men do reach base.

    Aside from mental aspects, others may physically do better with windup / stretch, if they employ both.

    The problem is, then most pitchers end up being characterized with one of those labels, or a similar one. That really shouldn’t be the case, since some deviation can be expected, and even a couple of years on one end of the spectrum doesn’t necessarily mean anything, per se.

    Based on what you shared about Ortiz, it’s safe to say he’s a little bit different in a number of regards. It was good to read that. I haven’t really kept up on him much.

    All we can hope for tonight is that he doesn’t do anything to impress our FO. ;)

  8. Thingray on September 14th, 2006 4:44 pm

    You’ve stumped me Coach Owen!

  9. Josh on September 14th, 2006 4:45 pm

    Damn, Perez, not Ortiz. Mixed up first and last name, I guess. :)

  10. JI on September 14th, 2006 4:48 pm

    And Princess Willie is playing, of course!

    Not to be a complete snickerpuss, but lefties have historically hit Perez a bit better than righties.

    Grover has no shame.

  11. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 4:49 pm

    chan ho park

  12. Dave on September 14th, 2006 4:50 pm

    There certainly are pitchers who post consistently lower LOB% than we’d expect, given their peripherals. I’ve actually been doing a bit of work on this lately, wondering if I could correlate LOB% with mental reputation. Guys like Javier Vazuqez, A.J. Burnett, and Jeremy Bonderman have had their coaches question their intelligence or mental fortitude at times in their careers, and all three have posted lower LOB% than we’d expect, given their abilities.

    I think there is a correlation. I’m not sure if the lack of stranding runners creates the reputation, or if it’s evidence that maybe the coaches are right. It’s an interesting issue for me, as you can probably tell.

  13. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 4:51 pm

    11. Correct, good job.

  14. Josh on September 14th, 2006 4:53 pm

    It’s an interesting issue for me, as you can probably tell.

    I can tell, and it’s great to learn more about it. Like you say, we really have a great ways to go in learning about pitchers and evaluating them.

    It would be great to see any interesting reads you might find in the future.

  15. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 4:58 pm

    LOB% will rear it’s head on tv tonight, feedback on usage would be appreciated.

  16. Grizz on September 14th, 2006 4:59 pm

    (Hint: Pitches for Padres, last name is a recreational area.)

    Jung Bong pitches for the Padres?

  17. Thingray on September 14th, 2006 5:03 pm

    Park. I get it..

    I was trying to think of the name of an actual recreational area ( like Lake Mead, or Lake Roosevelt), as opposed to a synonym for one.

  18. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:04 pm

    Holy crap. That’s plagiarism!

  19. Dave on September 14th, 2006 5:04 pm

    LOB% will rear it’s head on tv tonight, feedback on usage would be appreciated.

    Well, you’ve got a matchup of Washburn and Perez, who have both posted wildly inconsistent LOB% over the past couple of years. Putting something up comparing Washburn’s 2005 and 2006 LOB% and Perez’s 2004 and 2005/2006 LOB% combined could get the point across about how big a difference it can make on a pitcher’s ERA.

  20. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 5:06 pm

    we’ll do perez later after the grfx guy gets it’s built, we did 2004 vs 2006 with dodgers

  21. msb on September 14th, 2006 5:07 pm

    FWIW, from the PI tuesday:

    “Snelling’s primary goal is remaining healthy for the final month of the season and entering a spring training without the stigma of recovering from an injury. His surgically repaired left knee still causes discomfort, but he said he will have to get used to the pain. It won’t go away.

    “I want to be able to be healthy at the end of the year and be ready (for spring training). That’s something I haven’t done in six years,” Snelling said. “The knee is something I’ll always think about because I’ve had so many surgeries on it. And right now, it’s as good as it’s going to get.”

    Manager Mike Hargrove said he’s monitoring Snelling’s playing time and the amount of pounding on the knee. The consensus is Snelling could compete for a starting job if he avoids injury. “With him coming off the knee surgery, I’m not sure how smart it is to play him a number of days in a row,” Hargrove said. “I thought it was a good idea to give him a day off against a left-hander.”

  22. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 5:07 pm

    Why doesn’t Hargrove give Ichiro a day off? That might be one of the reasons for his slump.

  23. Dave on September 14th, 2006 5:08 pm

    You’re the man. Next time we have a USSM feed, you get in free. Just remind me when we announce it.

  24. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 5:10 pm

    18. i do my own research, ussm just pointed me in the proper direction, besides, i don’t recall crying foul when you posted the clips of me running “doyle” on the fox box last month.

  25. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:11 pm

    I’m kidding.

  26. Chiro1623 on September 14th, 2006 5:12 pm

    Where’s Morse?

  27. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:13 pm

    In fact, I think its great. I wanna see if the talking heads offer any sort of commentary, or draw any conclusion from it.

    Remember when Hendu *almost* put it together that errors were useless during the Boston series? That was great TV.

  28. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 5:15 pm

    Is it a bad sign when your #3 hitter is lucky merely to have “only” hit into a DOUBLE play?

  29. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 5:17 pm

    Were 3-4 against a him and yet to reach third base

    Maybe Sexson can fix that

  30. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:18 pm

    Its kinda sad to see such a nice looking venue so empty.

    I was going to mock Kansas City for batting Grudzielanek 3rd, then I remembered who are three hitter was and…

  31. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 5:25 pm

    Nice to see us grab an early lead.

  32. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 5:25 pm

    So I’m watching the game with rabbit ears, and I’m stuck watching in high quality black and white. This is freaking sweet.

  33. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 5:27 pm

    A more artistic feel in b/w. Felliniesque, if you will.

  34. unkrusty on September 14th, 2006 5:27 pm

    Man, do you ever feel jinxed? Small sample size and all, but before trade Eduardo Perez OPS .979, comes to Mariners .571.

    Broussard pre .880, post .712.

  35. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 5:28 pm

    I feel like I’m watching a game in 1955.

  36. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:30 pm

    Nah with b/w/ you can’t just shut the color off, you have to have that blueish glow too.

  37. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 14th, 2006 5:31 pm

    #35 The you might need to pick some of this up.

    Schlitz

  38. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 5:32 pm

    nah i like budweiser better.

  39. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 14th, 2006 5:33 pm

    Should say “Then you might need to pick some of this up”

    Guess I hit the Pabst Blue Ribbon a wee bit too early tonight.

  40. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 5:39 pm

    nah i’d rather stay sober than drink PBR

  41. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 5:39 pm

    Thanks, Willie. Next time, just leave the bat on your shoulder?

  42. Ralph Malph on September 14th, 2006 5:39 pm

    Gamecast is showing Will-Blow safe on a fielder’s choice. Was that a bunt or a chopper or what?

  43. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 5:39 pm

    No one covering first at all…Bell should be thrilled with that execution.

    I think it was John McKay (when he was coaching the sorry TB Bucs in the early days) who, when asked about the execution of his players he responded, “I’m all for it.”

  44. Ralph Malph on September 14th, 2006 5:40 pm

    Hargrove must love these productive outs.

  45. Ralph Malph on September 14th, 2006 5:41 pm

    The great thing about this inning is that we have our “#3 hitter” coming up now.

  46. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 5:42 pm

    I can’t get any kind of audio feed, but I sense someone gushing over Willie’s scoring from third. What grit!

  47. msb on September 14th, 2006 5:43 pm

    Odalis is looking a little pissy at his defense…

  48. JI on September 14th, 2006 5:44 pm

    The Royals have no grit.

  49. Ralph Malph on September 14th, 2006 5:46 pm

    Wasn’t it Odalis’ fault that no one covered first? He should be pissy at himself.

  50. msb on September 14th, 2006 5:46 pm

    I loved the Gruden quote from this weekend — it felt so much like most of the season here: “I can’t say anything offensively when you score zero points. Zero! Z-E-R-O. That sums it up pretty damn well, I think.”.

  51. msb on September 14th, 2006 5:48 pm

    #49– Odalis was torqued at the lackadaisical outfield play. He didn’t express himself concerning 1st…

  52. Brian Thornton on September 14th, 2006 5:48 pm

    Doyle throws Costa out. Rag-arm Scrappy Do, not so much…

  53. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 5:50 pm

    Playing the Royals demonstrates the gulf that separates the M’s, a “so-so” team that really could be over .500 from the Royals, a truly sorry bottom dweller. With some fine-tuning (emphasis on “fine”), we could be competitive…even next season. C’mon, Bavasi. Do it. Pleeeeeeeeez.

  54. terry on September 14th, 2006 5:52 pm

    #12: I’ve been doing a lot of fan graph sleuthing recently with various pitchers and one of the more consistent things I’ve noticed with rate stats and effectiveness is that wild (often unsustainably so) variation in strand rate often correlates with a run of success or a bad patch. This troubles me because there seems to often be no rhythm nor reason. Rate stats seem to have potential predictive power. But how can variation in LOB% be predicted (i.e. controlled from a variable standpoint)? uuuggghhhhhh…..

  55. Dave on September 14th, 2006 6:01 pm

    But how can variation in LOB% be predicted

    There’s actually a formula for expected LOB%, created by Dave Studeman, that attempts to predict LOB% by using his rate stats, and for the most part, does a decent job. According to Studes research, 20% of stranding runners can be explained by pitching talent – the other 80% is unknown, but is probably mostly random.

  56. sodomojojojo on September 14th, 2006 6:04 pm

    Doyle would’ve made that throw!

  57. Eleven11 on September 14th, 2006 6:04 pm

    Nice throw Mary…

  58. PeterCampbell on September 14th, 2006 6:05 pm

    57 – why Mary?

  59. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:05 pm

    We blow.

  60. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:07 pm

    Can Washburn EVER hang onto a lead?
    His record can be partially blamed on his low run support but it’s also partially because whenever he DOES get some runs, he gives them right back up

  61. Red Apple on September 14th, 2006 6:10 pm

    That’s it, let’s play down to the level of our competition.

  62. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:13 pm

    yay………..pineiro’s back in the rotation..

  63. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:15 pm

    ICHIRO!

  64. sodomojojojo on September 14th, 2006 6:15 pm

    M’s throwing away the rest of season with both hands continues with firing Rohn and putting Joel back in the rotation for the rest of the season. Perhaps Grover would like to drop some weights on Ichiro’s foot as well–IDIOT (heavy sigh)

  65. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:16 pm

    #57– someone wants a word with you.

    #62– the explanation given on Joel was that they wanted to see if his bullpen success would translate into starting again.

  66. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:19 pm

    Pineiro as a reliever:

    17.2 IP, 13H, 6BB, 13K, 1HR, .210 OPP AVG.

    So yeah, I guess he has pitched better. All SSS warnings apply.

  67. Eleven11 on September 14th, 2006 6:20 pm

    Sigh, my sister is Mary and she throws like a girl.

  68. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:21 pm

    and it isn’t as though putting Joel in the rotation is stunting Jake Woods’ development.

    so how is Rohn being gone throwing the season away?

  69. Eleven11 on September 14th, 2006 6:25 pm

    msb-Sorry, still laughing too hard to properly respond…

  70. JMB on September 14th, 2006 6:26 pm

    I liked this on Seattlest today about what happens without a bench coach…

  71. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:33 pm

    …which will take at bats away from Beltre as he attempts to hit as many homers this year as Tampa Bay’s Ty Wigginton (currently, Beltre’s three behind, but Wigginton’s had the benefit of being more rested–he’s hit his in 150 less at bats).

    This one’s pretty good too.

  72. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:34 pm

    Aw fudge.

  73. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:37 pm

    say, wasn’t one of the keys to the game supposed to be keeping the 1 and 2 batters off the bases tonight?

  74. JMB on September 14th, 2006 6:39 pm

    I fixed your italics, JI.

    And I have to admit to being a bit biased, since I’ve known Seth since high school, but he writes some pretty funny quick takes on the M’s over there.

  75. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:41 pm

    Washburn cannot hold a lead
    In a 2-0 game with the Mariners down, Jarrod will pitch beautifully and take the loss. In a 6-0 game with the M’s up, Washburn will give up 7 runs and take the loss. (Best case scenario, Jarrod gives up 5 runs and the M’s win 6-5) Ugh.

  76. JI on September 14th, 2006 6:41 pm

    Well, I was distraught about the unnessicarily long URL I forgot to delete after I pasted it into the more compact link but…

    Actually, the key to the game was to strand the runners you allow. But, hey, who’s counting.

  77. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 6:43 pm

    digger: it’s gonna be the beef and a half

  78. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:44 pm

    I wonder how many warning track deep fly balls Fruto will give up today. And how many of those will soon turn into 2-3 run HR’s

  79. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:46 pm

    so is Fruto as old as Julio Franco, or only as old as El Duque?

  80. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 6:47 pm

    Well that went over like a fart in a diver’s helmet

  81. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:47 pm

    Fruto doesn’t like baserunners when he pitches.

  82. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:48 pm

    This guy’s terrible. Who said Fruto was closer material? He’s not making the best of his MLB trial run.. major control issues. At best, he’s a Mateo+ (Mateo with slightly better stuff)

  83. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:49 pm

    Who said Fruto was closer material?

    no one that I can recall.

  84. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 6:49 pm

    Good thing we got Wasbhurn out of there quickly (eyes rolling)

  85. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 6:49 pm

    Of course it may have been beneficial to squeeze out more than three runs when you have EIGHT hits in the first two innings.

    Just a thought

  86. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:50 pm

    oh, now you’re being greedy.

  87. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 6:51 pm

    In a previous game thread, I mentioned how Fruto seemed to be flying under the radar and not getting roasted like some of the other M’s players who havne’t exactly…performed (Mateo, WFB, Pinata, etc.) Someone mentioned that he had good potential and was closer-material.

  88. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:52 pm

    huh. wonder why?

  89. JMB on September 14th, 2006 6:54 pm

    Three-for-three! Where are the Ichiro! bashers now?

  90. JMB on September 14th, 2006 6:55 pm

    Well, I was distraught about the unnessicarily long URL I forgot to delete after I pasted it into the more compact link but…

    Well then, dammit, I fixed that too.

  91. Dave on September 14th, 2006 6:55 pm

    I’ve never been a big Fruto fan, but evaluating a supposedly 22-year-old kid based on a handful of major league innings is pretty stupid.

    He’s better than Mateo.

  92. NextYear on September 14th, 2006 6:55 pm

    Fruto does have closer potential. For the Reds.

  93. NextYear on September 14th, 2006 6:56 pm

    Forgot my smiley after that… :-)

  94. msb on September 14th, 2006 6:56 pm

    #87– ah, I bet this was it– from a name I didn’t recognise, but someone who also thinks that Fruto is ‘young’….

    Fruto has enough stuff to be a stopper. Question is does he have enough character to progress to that level? He really looks like he needs to start a conditioning program and work on his command. He’s young but it is gut check time for Emiliano.

  95. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 7:01 pm

    88. Same :) Point still stands though, he’s been flying under the radar for how badly he’s been performing.

    Not sure if anyone else remembers but earlier in the season, when we still had a chance, Fruto lost a game and put several out of reach. He got lucky his past 2-3 appearences where he gave up some deep flyballs 2-3 ft. away from being a HR.

    Needs to develop better control of his pitches.

  96. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 7:02 pm

    Finally Princess Willie contributed.

  97. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 7:04 pm

    Ichiro sucks.

  98. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:04 pm

    An ugly baserunning screw up followed by an even uglier slide at home…sigh

    Grover must really preach smart baserunning on this team.

  99. JI on September 14th, 2006 7:04 pm

    Lopez is the worst baserunner since unsliced bread.

  100. Bozo on September 14th, 2006 7:06 pm

    Hargrove’s surprise strategy – giving up an out and forcing the Royals to walk Ichiro – has clearly spread confusion all around.

    (Like on the basepaths.)

    One wonders what further surprises Hargrove has in store for the unwary.

  101. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 7:07 pm

    Yuny isn’t so great on the basepaths either. Actually the M’s as a whole fall a bit short in that category but we’re young and with guidance and experience, I’m sure they’ll get better at it.

  102. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:07 pm

    Nice ab by our #3 hitter.

    Was that a three pitch or a four pitch K? (Note the last pitch being something even Kingman would’ve thought twice about)

  103. David* on September 14th, 2006 7:08 pm

    3 cheers for aggressive baserunning!

  104. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:10 pm

    What’s sorta funny is one of these teams has to win this game no matter how many mistakes both make. (That’s my Ron Fairly like statement for the day)

  105. beaconhope on September 14th, 2006 7:13 pm

    When will these guys criticize Ichiro’s baserunning?

  106. _MFAN_ on September 14th, 2006 7:15 pm

    I don’t know whats worse. The Mariners vs. the Royals, or me watching the Mariners vs. the Royals.

  107. Josh on September 14th, 2006 7:17 pm

    Pineiro as a reliever:

    17.2 IP, 13H, 6BB, 13K, 1HR, .210 OPP AVG.

    So yeah, I guess he has pitched better. All SSS warnings apply.

    SSS coupled with the following facts make it pretty much useless:

    - The bullpen is supposedly used with each person pitching in situations preferable to them, as opposed to starters who just start and have to suck it up if they get a bunch of bad matchups.

    - Less pitches, more energy available to expend, along those lines…

    - His stuff isn’t good enough to hold batters to .210 BAA going forward. It just isn’t.

    - His 1 HR compared to 18 FB as a reliever is 5.55%. Those are only “outs” as well. I don’t know where to find his relief pitching stats on total fly balls to see what the discrepancy might be.

    Probably more that I’m missing, but my stomach is growling now and I can’t think straight.

    Also, I have somewhat different stats (maybe they’re incorrect, but took ‘em off the “official” site):

    16.2 IP, 13 H, 6 BB, 15 K, 1 HR, .210 BAA.

  108. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 7:18 pm

    Remember earlier when Ibanez actually hit doubles and triples?

  109. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:19 pm

    Even with Sexson actually hitting over .300 since the break, he’s still only hitting .194 vs lefties this year.

    How on earth is that possible?

  110. tarheels on September 14th, 2006 7:21 pm

    Timmy Gobble
    now that’s a true american name

  111. Josh on September 14th, 2006 7:22 pm

    One more that I forgot to add, but I don’t have the time to look into either, is considering whether some of his performances have come in blow outs with scrubs taking over on the other team’s lineup. I don’t know whether that is the case, but it would be worth looking into.

    Okay, dinner time for real.

  112. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:24 pm

    Wow…even our best hitter with RISP manages to make two outs instead of just one.

    Not good

  113. ChrisK on September 14th, 2006 7:25 pm

    Maybe Joel is raising his hands again. That’s clearly the reason for his improved performance. Hands up!! /sarcasm

  114. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 7:28 pm

    111. you need some kansas city BBQ

  115. NextYear on September 14th, 2006 7:29 pm

    Maybe he has a new arm slot /snark If I hear that about any other pitchers this year, my head may explode.

  116. IdahoInvader on September 14th, 2006 7:31 pm

    How is it long men give up the big hit with inherited runners on base and then get outs like there’s no problem?

    Seems like over the years that happens on every team.

  117. JI on September 14th, 2006 7:36 pm

    Snelling pinch-hitting for Golden Willie???

    OMFG!!!

  118. Lauren, token chick on September 14th, 2006 7:42 pm

    And making it look like not such a good idea, unfortunately.

  119. Dave on September 14th, 2006 7:48 pm

    When was the last time a guy hitting .111 got intentionally walked?

  120. JI on September 14th, 2006 7:48 pm

    Man, I hate intentional walks. Especially when they’re issued to no-name guys hitting .111.

  121. JI on September 14th, 2006 7:49 pm

    jinx

  122. _MFAN_ on September 14th, 2006 7:50 pm

    119- At least no one is dumb enough to intentionally walk Adam Kennedy to face Howie Kendrick.

    oh….wait.

  123. joser on September 14th, 2006 7:52 pm

    On the radio Dave N was rhapsodizing about his favorite park, Fenway, and said the key to charm was that even though they sweep it up, when you walk in the gate “you can smell the stale beer.”

  124. joser on September 14th, 2006 7:57 pm

    Oh, and Betancourt’s golden fielding gets a shout out from some guy at SI (#4).

  125. JI on September 14th, 2006 8:01 pm

    Beltre!

  126. joser on September 14th, 2006 8:09 pm

    Why couldn’t he do that when the bases are loaded?

  127. joser on September 14th, 2006 8:10 pm

    And holy crap, Betancourt walked?

  128. vaughn leland on September 14th, 2006 8:14 pm

    GATES BBQ !!!!!!

  129. msb on September 14th, 2006 8:27 pm

    #110- Jimmy Gobble.

    boy, that game didn’t get any better in the time I was gone, did it?

  130. msb on September 14th, 2006 8:34 pm

    so, who is this Chuck James with the 10-3 record for the Braves, who just shut out the Phillies tonight?

  131. Jeff Sullivan on September 14th, 2006 8:37 pm

    An incredibly extreme flyball pitcher whose success is a mirage.

  132. _MFAN_ on September 14th, 2006 8:40 pm

    extreme might be a understatement.
    GB%=26.1%

  133. Lauren, token chick on September 14th, 2006 8:57 pm

    On the bright side, the soup I made during the game is good.

  134. David J. Corcoran I on September 14th, 2006 9:00 pm

    I like soup

  135. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 9:01 pm

    144. What kind of soup?

  136. Coach Owens on September 14th, 2006 9:01 pm

    I ment “133.”

  137. Eleven11 on September 15th, 2006 7:58 am

    Mariner Notes: Hargrove said “we already have” started going over names for a bench coach for next year and that Goff “is certainly one of the names.”
    Still think he is going to be fired in two weeks?

  138. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 8:37 am

    I read the same thing over at The News Tribune. Please god no.

    Nooooooooo!!!!

    Ok. I am now done panicking for the day.

    Dave please tell me these articles are just random specualtion and hold no truth. Tell me the sky is not falling. And while you are at it tell me what the winning Mega millions numbers are.

  139. msb on September 15th, 2006 8:39 am

    Theil rambles on about the firings and continues in his belief that Joh is a ‘mediocre’ catcher.

  140. Tom on September 15th, 2006 8:41 am

    Unbelieveable, how clueless can this front office get?

    We are going to keep BOTH Grover and Bavasi.

  141. gk91 on September 15th, 2006 8:41 am

    No I don’t, and it annoys the crap out of me.

  142. Tom on September 15th, 2006 8:44 am

    Well, you can almost expect this team to do bad in 2007 with Dumb and Dumber still around for the M’s.

    This just ruins my day.

  143. Eleven11 on September 15th, 2006 8:47 am

    Interesting article. So Rohn told everyone and his uncle that Grover is an idiot, usually a CLM (Career limiting move)and does require his boss to give him the old heave ho. I loved the speculation why Grover would be back next year, not because Rohn was wrong but because if Bavasi were to get it, they didn’t want a multi year contract on another of his schmucks. Great strategy. Rearrange the deck chairs and hope for something different next time around but actually expect to have to fire more folks because you really don’t think it’s working. AAAAAAAArrrgh!!!

  144. gwangung on September 15th, 2006 9:01 am

    Interesting article. So Rohn told everyone and his uncle that Grover is an idiot, usually a CLM (Career limiting move)and does require his boss to give him the old heave ho. I loved the speculation why Grover would be back next year, not because Rohn was wrong but because if Bavasi were to get it, they didn’t want a multi year contract on another of his schmucks. Great strategy. Rearrange the deck chairs and hope for something different next time around but actually expect to have to fire more folks because you really don’t think it’s working. AAAAAAAArrrgh!!!

    AAAAARgh, indeed.

    If true, this is a textbook case of corporate-think, and a dysfunctional corporation, at that. Penny wise, pound foolish. This really IS thinking budget first, and putting the true goal of the organization in second or third place.

  145. terry on September 15th, 2006 9:03 am

    Thiel IMHO is a bit of a turd muffin….

    I don’t understand the readiness to show the world you just don’t get it…

    For instance, he writes, “because standard timing for staff butchery following a blown season takes place the first week of October”. IMHO, this season while a bit dissapointing was far from a bust. Several young guys stepped up and Beltre has made a strong case for himself. This season IS progress…. I had hard time seeing THAT last year…

    Other paraphrased gems: “felix is fat”, “Johjima can’t catch”,”Ichiro quit being *Mr Clutch*”, more Beltre nonsense.., no team leader-implying something about chemistry… I guess the Ms need chemistry but not ornaments and somehow they are like a broken car…

    I could’ve written that colummn in about ten minutes….

  146. gwangung on September 15th, 2006 9:04 am

    On the other hand, this frenzy is all based on media speculation. We all know how far standard journalism has fallen these days. And sports journalism…

  147. Dave on September 15th, 2006 9:21 am

    How about we impose a moratorium on freaking out about Hargrove being retained for next year until after that’s actually announced?

    Everyone is trying to read way too much into statements made to the press. Don’t forget, Bavasi was asked directly at the press conference if Rohn’s firing signaled that Hargrove would return next year, and his answer was something like “I don’t understand the question.”

    Just wait, okay?

  148. Eleven11 on September 15th, 2006 9:24 am

    Jeez, you’re no fun. I have budgets up the kazoo to do on a Friday, now I have to actually work.

  149. AQ on September 15th, 2006 9:32 am

    The one that really disturbed me from the News Tribune article was this excerpt:

    “…and Joel Piñeiro will return to the rotation on Saturday – and stay there for the remainder of the season.

    Piñeiro, who was moved to the bullpen after pitching ineffectively, has changed his arm angle, improved his control and increased his velocity in relief.”

    Isn’t this about the 5th or 6th time that Pineiro has changed his arm angle? I mean, really, how many pitching arm angles are there? The part about the increased velocity is also quite disturbing. It seems to me that an increased amount of velocity would be as a result of knowing that you’re only going to throw 50-60 pitches (max) versus 90-100 as a starter. It stands to reason that a pitcher can put more behind their pitches when they know they’re going to throw less pitches. Once he starts again, I’d predict a return to his previous velocity. I think it’s just absurd to put him back into that rotation.

  150. Evan on September 15th, 2006 9:40 am

    Either he’ll reduce velocity or he’ll get lit up in the fourth inning when his arm falls off.

    Why is the team so bad at evaluating its own talent?

  151. msb on September 15th, 2006 9:41 am

    what’s wrong with putting him in the rotation and proving once and for all that he shouldn’t be back there?

    my fear is that the boys at the top decide that 4 managers in 4 years ‘looks bad’, and they override the GM’s wishes.

  152. AQ on September 15th, 2006 9:43 am

    #151 – I guess I thought that he already proved his lack of value by this point. I wonder if that game where he pitched 3 2/3rds hitless innings changed their mind about him? If so, it really disturbs me that they’ve yet to grasp the concept of sample size.

  153. Ralph Malph on September 15th, 2006 9:45 am

    If it’s true that Rohn criticized his boss to players, I can’t blame them for firing him. Even if the boss is an idiot, the “assistant boss” can’t go around badmouthing him to subordinates. Not as long as the idiot boss is still the boss.

  154. AQ on September 15th, 2006 9:46 am

    And I think it’d be 4 managers in 6 years if they hire a replacement for Hargrove in ‘07:

    ‘02 – Lou
    ‘03 and ‘04 – BoMel
    ‘05 and ‘06 – Hargrove

  155. gwangung on September 15th, 2006 9:46 am

    my fear is that the boys at the top decide that 4 managers in 4 years ‘looks bad’, and they override the GM’s wishes.

    And they can the GM anyway next year, despite the manager not being the man the GM wants.

    Gee. That makes a lot of sense.

    On the other hand, this is from a man who did a mediocre job with the premiere console game maker in the world at various times. And forced out a manager that won 116 games. So, who knows?

  156. AQ on September 15th, 2006 9:48 am

    #153 – I agree. Perhaps Rohn was not aware of how to “play the game”, in a corporate sense. No matter how much you disagree with your boss, you simply cannot berate him like that to anyone who will listen. To do so is to commit career suicide, just like in the business world.

  157. Ralph Malph on September 15th, 2006 9:54 am

    Or perhaps Rohn was not aware of who was a clubhouse snitch.

  158. Safeco Hobo on September 15th, 2006 9:54 am

    Maybe Rohn was at USSMARINER too much….I mean heck, before i started coming here i thought WFB was a great player (with hustle), thought ERA was a great measure of a pitcher, and didn’t think a manager could do TOO much damage to a team. Not to mention the value of evaluating SAMPLE SIZE!!!!

  159. AQ on September 15th, 2006 9:57 am

    #158 – LOL. Perhaps the person whose handle is “Free Dan Rohn!” is none other than Dan Rohn himself??

  160. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 10:00 am

    #159 Well, in a way, he has been freed.

    I hope Joel achieves new levels of sucktastickness in the rotation for these remaining few starts so there is not one scrap of doubt left that he does not belong on the team as a starter.

  161. NextYear on September 15th, 2006 10:07 am

    160- How awful is that? —> We have to hope for OBVIOUS Sucktasticness, so that the team will make the correct evaluation of his talent…

  162. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 10:16 am

    It is awful. Not saying I want the M’s to lose. Just Joel to suck. He can give up 7 runs in 2 innings and we can win 8-7. I would be fine with that. Of course Bloomers would also have to go 0-4 with 3 k’s and a gidp.

  163. Tom on September 15th, 2006 10:34 am

    Geez, quite honestly right now, I feel like the M’s are 20 games out of first place for 2007 already.

    And the new season doesn’t start for 7 months!!!

  164. Abodacious on September 15th, 2006 11:09 am

    Ah but there IS reason to root for the M’s to lose. Can you imagine what it would do for Grover’s standing if the team were to go an an end of year tear, and reach 500 (no, i am not imbibing anything that makes me think there is any chance that will happen). In contrast, what if they suck it up so badly that Grover gets his 90 losses in a row??

  165. Abodacious on September 15th, 2006 11:10 am

    I meant “90 losses for the fith year in a row.”

  166. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 11:22 am

    Meh…I don’t like them losing, but then again I like the nails in Hargrove’s coffin.

    Torn, because I love baseball and it is an escape from my real job (submarines suck) but I really want this season to end so I can see what unfolds. This really has to be an off-season of change.

    I am also very curious as to who wins the Daisuke sweepstakes if he gets posted. No team knows what the other is bidding. You know Steinbrenner will throw his cash around.

  167. joser on September 15th, 2006 11:24 am

    8,839 people at that game, the lowest home crowd for the Royals all season. Even the people in KC, starved as they are for real baseball, know what to avoid.

  168. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 11:26 am

    Dave,

    When will we know the winter ball rosters? I am assuming Felix won’t be doing much. How about Morrow and some of the other pitchers we drafted this year? Will they be playing or is the organization going to limit their arm usage?

  169. joser on September 15th, 2006 11:34 am

    I am also very curious as to who wins the Daisuke sweepstakes if he gets posted. No team knows what the other is bidding.

    You sure about that? Japanese baseball is an even smaller club than MLB. And the M’s owner is friendly with pretty much all of them. I’m just saying…

    BTW, all this kremlinology over the M’s front office — complete with minute parsings of opaque comments, panic over 2nd or 3rd-hand reports, and wild speculation unsupported by any facts — was rather amusing immediately after firings. It’s getting a bit tedious by now… particularly since we don’t actually know anything more now than we did then, and pretty much everything of any value was posted in the first few hours, so it’s all become just a hall of hysterical mirrors.

  170. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 11:38 am

    Yup. I am sure. The bids are sealed and go to MLB (Selig). The highest bidder is then given the opportunity to negotiate.

  171. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 11:43 am

    Here is a link that explains it in the most general detail.

  172. VaBeachMarinersFan on September 15th, 2006 11:45 am

    Dang. Here is the link.

    Posting Process

  173. Evan on September 15th, 2006 1:43 pm

    I’m still appalled someone gave Grover another job after Baltimore.

    Over the last 36 games that season he went 4-8 if you ignore the TWO 12 GAME LOSING STREAKS.

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