Comments on: Looking back at the win lines http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/ Seattle Mariners and general baseball discussion with David Cameron and Derek Zumsteg Sat, 21 Nov 2009 08:17:03 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: Adam S http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148495 Adam S Tue, 03 Oct 2006 16:35:06 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148495 Nicely done. I wish I had had that writeup before I placed money (legally, in Vegas). <i>there are wide variations in a season’s outcome</i> And really wide variations in a team's play during the season and that will drive you batty if you bet the lines and follow them. The Angels spent five months playing like an 81-85 win team -- an easy win for "under" -- then went 19-9 in September including a 9-3 finish and actually had a good shot at win #90 on the final day. The Royals, not one of your bets but one of mine, played .250 ball the first two months -- again, well on the way to an easy "under" -- then .445 the rest of the way including .500 in September and wound up two wins short. Two corrections: the Brewers were "-6" and Devil Rays were actually "-7" meaning all five teams in the might (hyped) AL East finished under. Nicely done. I wish I had had that writeup before I placed money (legally, in Vegas).

there are wide variations in a season’s outcome
And really wide variations in a team’s play during the season and that will drive you batty if you bet the lines and follow them. The Angels spent five months playing like an 81-85 win team — an easy win for “under” — then went 19-9 in September including a 9-3 finish and actually had a good shot at win #90 on the final day. The Royals, not one of your bets but one of mine, played .250 ball the first two months — again, well on the way to an easy “under” — then .445 the rest of the way including .500 in September and wound up two wins short.

Two corrections: the Brewers were “-6″ and Devil Rays were actually “-7″ meaning all five teams in the might (hyped) AL East finished under.

]]> By: DMZ http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148483 DMZ Tue, 03 Oct 2006 06:47:01 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148483 You should break the bank now, so I don't have to go get a day job. Book's out in Feb 07, as far as I know. You should break the bank now, so I don’t have to go get a day job.

Book’s out in Feb 07, as far as I know.

]]> By: Ghost of Halama http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148478 Ghost of Halama Tue, 03 Oct 2006 04:59:06 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148478 yo'ze the man, DMZ... pleze do the same next year, and we'll break the ol' bank... yo’ze the man, DMZ…

pleze do the same next year, and we’ll break the ol’ bank…

]]> By: colm http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148477 colm Tue, 03 Oct 2006 04:55:33 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148477 Yes, I've been regreting not taking a punt on that since April. And now they're talking about banning online gambling. Yes, I’ve been regreting not taking a punt on that since April.

And now they’re talking about banning online gambling.

]]> By: Coach Owens http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148474 Coach Owens Tue, 03 Oct 2006 03:45:48 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148474 You know the release date of your book yet Derek? You know the release date of your book yet Derek?

]]> By: DMZ http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148470 DMZ Tue, 03 Oct 2006 02:08:43 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148470 There is! There is!

]]> By: joser http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148467 joser Tue, 03 Oct 2006 01:48:20 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148467 Don't worry: Derek has a chapter on that in his upcoming book. Don’t worry: Derek has a chapter on that in his upcoming book.

]]> By: Livengood http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148449 Livengood Mon, 02 Oct 2006 23:44:54 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148449 Hmmmm. Perhaps there is a book somewhere in there.... :) Hmmmm. Perhaps there is a book somewhere in there…. :)

]]> By: Evan http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-148442 Evan Mon, 02 Oct 2006 23:10:05 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/2006/10/02/looking-back-at-the-win-lines/#comment-148442 And yet, should you provide a similar set of projections next season, I might have to place some bets. And yet, should you provide a similar set of projections next season, I might have to place some bets.

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