Comments on: Jim Rice beware

By: tangotiger

tangotiger — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 23:41:10 +0000

Just taking a look at their b-r.com pages:

Vidro gets a GIDP 10% of the time there’s a guy on 1B (including 2 outs), and Ichiro is 4-5%. (The average is around 7 or 8%, and Jim Rice is almost 11%. Rice in 1984 was at 12.7%, with 291 guys on 1B).

The typical player has a guy on 1B almost one-third of his PAs. So, give him 600 PA, he has a guy on 1B 200 times, of which 20 will be GIDP. If Vidro is even more predisposed, maybe he’ll get it up to 13-15%, and he’ll be chasing 30.

I prefer Dave’s more complete analysis.

The win cost of a GIDP is around an extra 0.04-0.05 wins per GIDP above average. So, if Vidro hits 10 more GIDP than average, we’re talking about 0.5 wins. In short, Vidro+Ichiro = average. You’ve completely negated the speed effect of Ichiro by having Vidro.

By: Gomez

Gomez — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 19:36:34 +0000

42. Why, Corco, will MLB eventually allow him to ‘run’ the bases with a Segway?

By: Deanna

Deanna — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 09:25:54 +0000

You know, the other new Jose uses a particular at-bat song, which made me think “In-a-Gadda-da-Vidro”.

Shame it’s too long to be a nickname, though.

By: Edgar For Pres

Edgar For Pres — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 09:21:51 +0000

I’m pretty sure Edgar could outrun Vidro with just one hamstring. Could you imagine if Vidro was still playing 2B? Hopefully we never see that.

By: Anthony

Anthony — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 04:24:51 +0000

Oh no, not again.

By: davepaisley

davepaisley — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 04:16:44 +0000

How many of these 56 opportunities will be booted?

If he hits them all to Bobby Crosby, well, the universe may just implode. Maybe it will finally spawn the invention of the Improbability Drive… if we see a whale fall onto Safeco Field from 30,000 ft we’ll know it happened.

By: David J. Corcoran I

David J. Corcoran I — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 03:42:46 +0000

I’d put Beltre at 3, Johjima at 2, and Vidro at 7. But that’s just me.

By: go_cougs

go_cougs — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 03:29:57 +0000

Guillen should definately hit #3 against the Angels.

By: CouchGM

CouchGM — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 03:14:42 +0000

#26:

Where is the right spot in the order for Vidro (if he is going to play every day..ugh)? And who is the #3? Ibanez? Personally, I would like to see Beltre hit 3rd.

I think the Jose’s (Guillen and Vidro) should switch #3 and #6.

By: CouchGM

CouchGM — Wed, 04 Apr 2007 03:10:15 +0000

You didn’t include the variable of fielding pct of AL opponents and more specifically AL West opponents. How many of these 56 opportunities will be booted?