Game 88, Tigers at Mariners

Dave · July 14, 2007 at 6:00 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Batista vs Rogers, 7:05 pm.

Raul Ibanez since June 12th: .188/.225/.329
Raul Ibanez against lefties: .242/.255/.295
Rey Ordonez, career: .246/.289/.310

Maybe try not hitting Raul third tonight, guys? Anyone out there? Hello?

Comments

260 Responses to “Game 88, Tigers at Mariners”

  1. fishiam on July 14th, 2007 6:08 pm

    I think it’s gonna take An Open Letter to the Manager to get any change to the Raul Ibanez situation. Or the Jose Vidro situation. Or the Richie Sexson situation.

  2. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 6:26 pm

    Bunching the best hitters in a lineup tends to result in more runs scored over the course of a season.

    M’s OPS against LH pitchers this year:

    Guillen 1.184
    Kenji: 1.04
    Ichiro .851
    Beltre .804
    Yuni .772
    Sexson .710
    Vidro .726
    Lopez .631
    Raul .550

    Let’s see, who should bat together at the top of the order? How about the 4 guys at the top of the list?

    Who should be replaced in left by the light hitting Ellison? Duh.

  3. Thom Jimsen on July 14th, 2007 6:27 pm

    There’s still 45 minutes to get Adam Jones to the ballpark.

  4. dingla on July 14th, 2007 6:30 pm

    i dont know whether this is something to consider in the raul situation, but may be some one can answer this.

    how much does Raul’s veteran status influence the decision of whether to bench him or keeping sending him out to play. or is he even considered a veteran? if so this seems like the only logical answer as to why hes still out there and or may be him being an apparent team leader.

  5. Coach on July 14th, 2007 6:36 pm

    And yet, in the grand scheme of things, we want Jones up and Raul to DH. Its strange that the club will put pitchers on the DL with fake injuries but won’t do that with Raul. It doesn’t seem that he would totally fall off a cliff. The hamstrings must be affecting his swing. Why do they refuse to give him some time off so he can at least be effective against RH pitching?

  6. Kunkoh on July 14th, 2007 7:02 pm

    They say hind sight is 20/20. I have the feeling they are going to bring up Jones, and rework the line up after it’s already too late, and we are out of the race.

    The Angels have a very good team, and catching them (or Detroit/Cleveland for the WC) is going to be hard enough as it is, without shooting ourselves in the foot.

  7. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:09 pm

    Hmm, after seeing his commercial my comment to my girlfriend was “How many U’s are in crap?” Right before pulling up the USSM.

    I miss the old days, when the commercials were funny all season…rather than sad.

  8. Tak on July 14th, 2007 7:17 pm

    Royals better not let Cleveland catch up for the 2nd night in a row…

  9. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:22 pm

    Clevelend just lost to KC and the Angels are down 4-2 in the 4th (Lackey’s pitching, but the Angels have the bases juiced right now). Can’t complain about that.

    Tall order tonight against Kenny Rogers, but I think the bats will come alive tonight against the slower pitching.

  10. Tak on July 14th, 2007 7:24 pm

    4-4 still loaded with only 1 out…. worthless Texas :(

  11. terry on July 14th, 2007 7:26 pm

    A cynic might look at the Ms lineup tonight and wonder if they’re really trying to win.

  12. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:27 pm

    Does anyone else want to hunt down and steralize Joe Morgan’s children every time our announcers use RBI for a metric of effectiveness?

  13. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:29 pm

    Sterilize even. Bah.

    And I guess he didn’t start the trend, he just continues the tradition.

  14. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:29 pm

    5-4, bases still loaded, 2 out

  15. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:30 pm

    I’ve given up paying any attention to Krueger on the pre game show. I’ve yet to hear him say anything meaningful, or offer any observations that were valid.

  16. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:30 pm

    I guess everything is bigger in Texas, including ERA’s :o

  17. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:38 pm

    Another hard hit ball by Sexson

  18. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 7:39 pm

    Freddy Krueger just says the same things every week.

  19. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:39 pm

    Rogers dropped a weak grounder, and then compounded the error by throwing the ball away.

    No way that should have been scored a hit.

  20. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:39 pm

    we’ll take what we can get right now…

  21. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:39 pm

    That’s great after hearing the long story about how great Rogers is at fielding bunts, and telling his infielders to just play back because he’d handle them.

  22. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 7:41 pm

    I already miss Ken.

  23. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:42 pm

    That’s interesting. Down by a run, runners on first and second with no out, the M’s win probability is 55%.

  24. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:44 pm

    Paul B hmm, well I guess the expected rate of return with two runners on, no outs, is a bit greater than one (it’s been forever since I looked at those charts, isn’t it something like 1.2 or 1.3? So it makes sense, sort of.

  25. fetish on July 14th, 2007 7:44 pm

    Be calm guys.

    Ibanez’ just being showcased for the upcoming Adam Dunn trade.

  26. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:45 pm

    c’mon Yuni!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  27. David* on July 14th, 2007 7:45 pm

    Come on Yuni!

  28. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:45 pm

    Nevermind, I decided to look again and it’s closer to 1.5 (up or down depending upon the chart).

  29. pumpkinhead on July 14th, 2007 7:46 pm

    That was a very generous hit given to Sexson. Someone doesn’t want him going under .200 again :P

  30. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:46 pm

    mutherfucker…

  31. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:47 pm

    nice hustle by richie…

  32. DAMellen on July 14th, 2007 7:47 pm

    Those are some wheels!

  33. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 7:48 pm

    29: Either that or the baseball gods are pulling for Kenny to win another Gold Glove. :)

  34. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:48 pm

    Kenji was clearly safe at second.

  35. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 7:48 pm

    Magglio Ordonez’s throwing arm versus Richie Sexson’s speed. Isn’t that like the unstoppable force/immovable object thought experiment?

  36. Teej on July 14th, 2007 7:48 pm

    What’s Polanco crying about? He looked very, very safe.

  37. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:49 pm

    you better make that money, ichi!

  38. terry on July 14th, 2007 7:49 pm

    Mags showing why he’s not an MVP candidate :-P

  39. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    #24, I believe it. It just surprised me is all. I guess all those years of watching runners get stranded on base clouded my judgement.

  40. jeffinfremont on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    Well at least we got one run in with the bases loaded and nobody out. Ugh.

  41. DAMellen on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    35: Yeah but kinda in reverse. What happens when the weakest arm in baseball faces the slowest runner in the universe? Apparently, they cut it off and try to throw to second.

  42. roboknowscop on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    As the only Marlins regular here (that I know of), I join in the (expletive) Dave sentiment. I was wishing we could unload Willis, and would have gladly put up with the loss of his Community Service Mentality, excusing the fact that it might be court mandated due to his DUI. Since I’m moving from Florida, and will be starting Law School, I will be having some very late nights and a west coast team might help a bit. If we don’t sign Cabrera, I will consider dumping the Fish and might adpot the M’s. Go M’s. Also, has anyone seen this Willits kid for the Angels in person or on TV yet?

  43. terry on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    Boy, you don’t want to get up for a snack with Ichiro on deck….

  44. marinerd on July 14th, 2007 7:50 pm

    Do you guys think the Rockies would be willing to trade helton for Sexon straight up? From the Rockies point of view they get a 1B masher that has a shorter, and smaller contract than Helton’s. We take on more salary but get a LH guy that hits for average and would be a good fit in the 3# spot in the lineup.

  45. terry on July 14th, 2007 7:52 pm

    #42: yep…the Ms were at least the second best run franchise last week….

  46. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:53 pm

    I saw Willits in a 3-game set in St Louis last month – the kid’s for real. The pundits say it’s inevitible that he will fall off in the 2nd half, but I don’t think so.

  47. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 7:53 pm

    39: Guess we had to pay our dues for “Two outs, so what?”

  48. terry on July 14th, 2007 7:54 pm

    Helton….NNNNOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  49. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 7:54 pm

    44: Might not be so bad…at least Richie might be able to pump up his average to around .250 or so at Coors Field.

  50. roboknowscop on July 14th, 2007 7:55 pm

    I would even consider batting Helton 2nd in a Mariner Lineup, given the holes on the 4-3 side created by Ichiro.

  51. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:56 pm

    guillen…wow…

  52. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:56 pm

    Did Ichiro get a bad jump or something on that hit?

    Batista gave him the evil eye.

  53. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 7:57 pm

    And in other news, Buchholz promoted to AAA…

  54. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:57 pm

    the tiger commentators are saying that ichiro is playing “very deep”

  55. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 7:58 pm

    GUILLEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  56. marinerd on July 14th, 2007 7:58 pm

    Helton has a .300 AVG on the road, he isn’t the power bat he once was but he is an OBP machine any way you look at it, which is exactly what this team needs. Sexon isn’t doing us much good he gets a worthless HR here or there.

  57. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 7:58 pm

    WHAT A THROW

  58. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 7:58 pm

    Ichiro is already slacking off after signing his contract.

  59. David* on July 14th, 2007 7:58 pm

    nice dive Ichiro….

  60. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 7:59 pm

    In post 52, I was talking about the single by Inge. But I could just as easily be talking about that last wild play where Ichiro had a chance to catch the ball.

  61. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 7:59 pm

    Talk about saving the moment, Ichiro!

  62. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:00 pm

    59- i was just telling my buddy that i can’t remember the last time ichiro dove…

    58- he needs to kick some coin down to GUILLEN

  63. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 8:00 pm

    Past a diving Ichiro?

  64. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:01 pm

    Well, there wouldn’t have been a play for Guillen if Ichiro hadn’t gotten to it.

  65. roboknowscop on July 14th, 2007 8:01 pm

    Can someone please explain what happened in a play where Polanco singles to center and Inge is out at home??

  66. terry on July 14th, 2007 8:01 pm

    #53: Any news on other Redsox moves?

  67. Dash on July 14th, 2007 8:02 pm

    Bad attempt at the Shoestring Ichiro. But what a sweet throw by Guillen. Did you notice how casually Kenji tagged out the runner. Like it was just a given that he was out.

  68. Paul B on July 14th, 2007 8:03 pm

    Polanco hit a shallow fly to center, Ichiro was running hard and was able to trap the ball on the ground and stop it, but his momentum carried him past it and the ball was just lying there in the outfield grass.

    Guillen picked it up barehanded and threw a strike to Kenji, who easily tagged Inge at home trying to score.

  69. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:04 pm

    65: Runner on first runs on the pitch, batter hits it to center. Lead runner waits around after second to see if it gets caught, and takes off when it doesn’t. Ichiro had come in and attempted a low catch but missed, though his glove stopped the ball completely. Guillen runs in from backup, picks up the ball, and throws a strike to the plate just ahead of the runner.

  70. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 8:05 pm

    66… yes, this is THE YEAR.

  71. terry on July 14th, 2007 8:07 pm

    Our ballgirl fields better than your leftfielder…

  72. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:09 pm

    that was Sheff’s first strikout since June 24th…wow…

  73. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 8:11 pm

    I wonder if McLaren is popping Vicodin because of his hurt arm.

  74. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:11 pm

    If only Sheff could keep his mouth closed for that long

  75. terry on July 14th, 2007 8:12 pm

    Mclaren is imposing out there…. I half thought he was going to start throwing bases…

  76. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:13 pm

    It looked like the ump initially called it a foul tip. I think he heard it hit Maggs’s arm and thought it was the bat.

  77. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 8:13 pm

    One reason Ichiro plays 160 games a year is that he does not dive for balls. I think that is a fair trade.

  78. JR Ewing on July 14th, 2007 8:15 pm

    uncle bruce is really on it tonight, the bat was only 12 inches from the ball on the ordonez play. why did he pinch him anyways ?

  79. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:16 pm

    77 – I agree. He fields balls in the outfield that no other center fielder could even get to…ya’ll need to lay off and look at the big picture

  80. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:17 pm

    77: Also, Ichiro gets to a lot of balls others wouldn’t get in range to dive for.

  81. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 8:18 pm

    Like the insanity of diving/sliding to first base, you get from point A to point B faster by maintaining propulsion (in this case, running). Ichiro gets to balls because of his reads, routes, and running, the 3 R’s.

  82. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:22 pm

    big cell of thundershowers heading toward Seattle from the south – they might have to close the roof

  83. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:22 pm

    big cell of thundershowers heading toward Seattle from the south – they might have to close the roof

  84. Jordan of Boise on July 14th, 2007 8:23 pm

    If they go for the suicide squeeze with Richie on 3rd and Kenji batting, we might set a record for highest combined 40 yard dash times between bunter and runner.

  85. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 8:23 pm

    81… Ichiro also has the fourth R, range.

  86. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:23 pm

    81- aren’t they reading, writing, and rithmatic?

  87. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:24 pm

    nevermind – looks like they already closed it

  88. Teej on July 14th, 2007 8:24 pm

    Nicely done, Yuni.

  89. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 8:25 pm

    Like the insanity of diving/sliding to first base, you get from point A to point B faster by maintaining propulsion (in this case, running). Ichiro gets to balls because of his reads, routes, and running, the 3 R’s.

    But diving can get you in a position to reach a ball that you couldn’t possibly catch just running flat out. I think it’s more valid when it’s a snap reaction and you’re just trying to get your glove an inch off the ground as far away as possible (infielders). It’s much more valid when you have to get your hands in a low spot (not conducive to sprinting) and especially when you aren’t moving at full speed yet.

  90. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 8:25 pm

    Richie hits AND scores in the same inning…WOW!

  91. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 8:26 pm

    85. I consider range the total result of the 3 others.

  92. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:26 pm

    89: Diving is also directly responsible for injuries.

  93. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 8:28 pm

    92: Agreed — just ask Jim Edmonds.

  94. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 8:28 pm

    89. That is true relative to Ichiro’s speed. The point I was making is that when Ichiro runs faster than many, perhaps most, outfielders he is already closer to the ball than they would be and can catch it standing up.

    It’s frustrating to sometimes see a ball drop a mere 2-3 feet in front of him, but most guys see that hit fall in much further in front of them.

  95. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 8:31 pm

    Hats off to Batista. That is a heck of a lineup he is shutting down. Let’s get him some more runs!

  96. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 8:31 pm

    94: Yeah, I have no problems with his outfield defense, even if he almost never dives. He has amazing range. Diving in the outfield for a catch is always a dangerous thing anyway, if you miss a hit you could get on a hop becomes a double or triple as it goes past you.

    I do think diving is valid in the infield, especially a reaction position like third or SS. I think it’s occasionally ok in the outfield, and never acceptable at first base.

  97. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 8:32 pm

    Was Granderson just yelling at Kenji? Or was he just frustrated at missing that huge cut?

  98. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 8:33 pm

    Actually, I can see a situation where diving might be valid coming into first base. It’s an offline throw, pulls the first baseman off the bag, and he has to go for a tag, rather than the base because he’s off balance.

    But that would take great reactions and would be an exceptionally rare case.

  99. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:35 pm

    is that dive acceptable? fuck me…

  100. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 8:36 pm

    Speaking of diving…

  101. wcf51 on July 14th, 2007 8:36 pm

    do you guys think Ichiro will ever get his chance to pitch a major league game?

  102. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 8:36 pm

    98
    Yeah, when the throw pulls the first baseman off the bag sometimes the correct play is a slide, and sometimes head first.

  103. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 8:36 pm

    97 – Granderson was asking the ump if he swung at a ball

  104. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 8:37 pm

    101… if they let Ted Williams pitch, why not Ichiro?

  105. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 8:38 pm

    If this was the Bronx he would have been unconscious there, rather than coming out with the ball. Too bad our fans are too polite.

    But man, that took some amazing courage to dive over the fence like that for a foul tip.

  106. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 8:39 pm

    I think Leyland might be calling up the concessionaires to order some fries for Inge after that play!

  107. juneau_fan on July 14th, 2007 8:40 pm

    there’s no way in hell Sheffield strikes out twice in a game.

  108. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:42 pm

    105: Um, do you mean the fans would be violent? I seriously doubt it.

  109. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:44 pm

    108: A player going into the stands for a ball does so at his own risk. I can imagine that a player’s risk at doing so changes depending on the ballpark he’s in.

  110. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 8:45 pm

    Batista = awesome.

    Sometimes.

    Like, tonight for example.

  111. roboknowscop on July 14th, 2007 8:45 pm

    108: I think he means fans in the Bronx would not get back so easily.

  112. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:45 pm

    Yeah. All of you folks who talk about Richie Sexson’s defensive skills? That’s the play we talk about, right there. He’s slow to react to a ball and the Tigers get a single.

    Lead feet, man.

  113. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 8:46 pm

    108: I don’t think they would have jumped out of the way and given him the room. I think a pretty decent portion of the fans in NY, Boston, Chicago, etc. would have “bumped” him hard enough to knock the ball loose (and yes, there are probably quite a few people in Safeco who would have done a similar thing).

  114. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 8:46 pm

    Of course, this strike zone is gigantic.

  115. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:46 pm

    113: I’m totally with you, there. I’ve read my Cheater’s Guide to Baseball. Yes?

  116. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 8:48 pm

    108: At Yankee Stadium, a foul tip hit into the stands has been known on occasion to turn into a battle royal.

  117. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:48 pm

    113: It (and he) landed in the aisle.

  118. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 8:48 pm

    Those were two huge strikeouts; I can’t really believe my eyes.

  119. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:50 pm

    do we go to the pen?

  120. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 8:51 pm

    108.

    In the Bronx, several fans would have fallen on him drunk and then promptly been wisked away by their equally drunk buddies.

  121. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:51 pm

    119: No. Second half of the lineup coming up; see how Batista does. He’s been on.

  122. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:51 pm

    119: I don’t think so at this point. Get someone warm, because I don’t think Batista will stay in the game forever, but I bet he can handle another batter or two.

    Send him out and have a quick hook.

  123. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:52 pm

    97 pitches…

  124. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:52 pm

    how bout a blast?

  125. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:54 pm

    Walks are good. Well, when your team is hitting.

  126. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:54 pm

    awwww

  127. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:55 pm

    125: Walks are always good. They’re not outs.

  128. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:57 pm

    Walks are not so good when your pitcher is throwing ‘em up there.

  129. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 8:57 pm

    this is looking beautiful…

  130. Jordan of Boise on July 14th, 2007 8:57 pm

    Hey did Brendan Morrow just put on sixty pounds and punch a cameraman?

  131. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 8:58 pm

    Nice, Adrian. Good patience, there.

    Now, Mr. Johjima, would you please either (a) draw a walk, or (b) crush this ball?

    Pretty please with sugar on top?

  132. planB on July 14th, 2007 8:58 pm

    I hope they score more than one run this time.

  133. wcf51 on July 14th, 2007 9:00 pm

    We better win this game!

    We have had so many opportunities.

  134. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 9:01 pm

    making this muther work…

  135. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Um, the rye bread and mustard are in fridge, Kenji…

  136. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Get out the Mustard and Rye Bread Grandma!

  137. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Oh man, Kenji!!!!!

  138. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    NICE!

  139. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Thank you very much for listening to my request, Mr. Johjima. I’ll have to ask you to hit the snot out of a ball more often.

  140. Dash on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    KENNNNJIIIII! Grand Slam

  141. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Where would I look up the average runs scored after bases loaded, no outs?

    …and SUGOI IPPATSU!

  142. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    Grand Funk.

  143. gwangung on July 14th, 2007 9:02 pm

    And served with relish…

  144. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 9:03 pm

    CHAAA-CHINGGG!!!

  145. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:03 pm

    Man, I was screaming for that one to carry…nice job Kenji.

    I didn’t expect this game to be nearly so entertaining.

  146. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 9:03 pm

    DEEEEEEEPPPPPP

  147. Jordan of Boise on July 14th, 2007 9:03 pm

    Kenji bangs a dong!

  148. Joof on July 14th, 2007 9:03 pm

    How many pitches has Rogers thrown to Kenji? Kenji’s seems to have taken 20 pitches this game.

    Wow, and it seems to have worked. Pay back for yesterday.

    Go Kenji!

  149. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:04 pm

    Is SUGOI IPPATSU really Japanese for Funk Blast?

  150. Bilbo on July 14th, 2007 9:04 pm

    Funk yeah!

  151. fetish on July 14th, 2007 9:04 pm

    Whoa. Was that the until now unknown right-handed “loop zone”? Sure looked it.

  152. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:04 pm

    JJ even cheers in the bullpen despite losing a save opp (at least as of right now)

  153. Tak on July 14th, 2007 9:05 pm

    Today would have been much more fun if Texas wouldn’t suck so much.

  154. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:05 pm

    planB you can find old ‘run expectancy’ tables faily easily by searching for that, but all the ones I’ve seen are outdated (2002 or 2003, at best). I’m sure one of the SABR/stathead sites have more modern ones, but I don’t know of them.

  155. scott19 on July 14th, 2007 9:05 pm

    Well, as that great philosopher once said, “You’ve got to know when to hold ‘em…know when to fold ‘em…”

  156. Tak on July 14th, 2007 9:05 pm

    Sugoi – Amazing
    Ippatsu – One Shot

    so it means “Amazing blast”

  157. gwangung on July 14th, 2007 9:05 pm

    Heh. Rally Fries strikes again.

  158. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:06 pm

    That was an awesome at-bat by Kenji. He worked Rogers, fouled off a bunch of pitches, and then just creamed that ball.

  159. fetish on July 14th, 2007 9:06 pm

    From the Seattle Times:

    LOST IN TRANSLATION? The Mariners have been blaring “Funk Blast” to celebrate home runs at Safeco this season. But Monday’s back-to-back homers by Kenji Johjima and Adrian Beltre against the Boston Red Sox had some fans puzzled. Turns out the Mariners had debuted the Japanese and Spanish translations of “Funk Blast” on the scoreboard: “Sugoi Ippatsu” and “Explósion de Funk,” respectively. I’m all for diversity, but to be honest, I barely know what “Funk Blast” means in English. Mariners marketing guru Cole Parsons explained it this way: “Pam, home runs are fun. All we’re doing is adding the ‘k’.” …

  160. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:07 pm

    149: Sugoi is more like “cool”, I think. I’m not sure there’s an exact Japanese equivalent of the English word “funk”.

  161. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 9:07 pm

    Walks are good is the lesson hopefully learned.

  162. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:07 pm

    At this point, you may pull Batista and let Green work because Batista’s been on the bench too long.

  163. gwangung on July 14th, 2007 9:08 pm

    re: 159

    Frankly, I don’t care the lingustic etymology or why people are puzzled, as long as we see lots of them, and lots of them at key times…

  164. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:08 pm

    Actually, here we go…Baseball prospectus has a sort of chart thing with yearly numbers for run expectancy. A bit confusing at first, but it works.

    If I mess up the HTML its at http://baseballprospectus.com/statistics/sortable/index.php?cid=204022

  165. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:09 pm

    I can’t see them pulling Batista at this point. He is pitching awfully well.

  166. 88fingerslukee on July 14th, 2007 9:10 pm

    #130 is post of the year.

  167. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:10 pm

    Ichiro has been cold in this series.

  168. Carson on July 14th, 2007 9:10 pm

    Like I said, a split would be awesome IMO. And the M’s are on their way to at least that. Tomorrow, the Mariners could really make a statement to the AL.

    Sims: “Never underestimate the power of the rally fries”

    Haha.

  169. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:11 pm

    Batista will get anither opp.

    167 – you read my mind

  170. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:11 pm

    ‘anither’….lol – typing disability

  171. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 9:12 pm

    good move here…

  172. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:12 pm

    Thanks Sidi! Looks like expected runs with bases loaded, 0 outs is 2.34713 (taking actual data through 07-13-07, not projecting).

  173. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:13 pm

    #162
    Well, Mac agrees with you.

  174. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:15 pm

    Batista was at 96 pitches, Green was warm, and the game’s well in hand. I can imagine that you just pull Batista, pat him on the shoulder and say, “Good game, kid. Hit the showers.”

    Not that Batista’s a kid anymore.

  175. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:15 pm

    Beltre’s so damn smooth over there at third.

  176. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:15 pm

    LOL Lopez never touched the bag

  177. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:17 pm

    Should have been safe at 2nd

  178. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 9:18 pm

    web gem?

    and the tiger commentators just asked, “where was ibanez at?” even they see it…

  179. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:18 pm

    Yuni ran a mile there

  180. Carson on July 14th, 2007 9:18 pm

    176 & 177 (nathanp- Did you just start watching baseball? That’s called an out every time. He was very close to the bag, and they always call that an out.

  181. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:19 pm

    180 – no shit.

  182. Carson on July 14th, 2007 9:20 pm

    Blah. Vidro hit. Do we have any kind of indication on what “soon” means in regards to the freedom of Adam Jones?

  183. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:22 pm

    182: Well, to Aslan all times are soon…

  184. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:25 pm

    …should have traded him.

  185. Tak on July 14th, 2007 9:25 pm

    #160

    Sorry but you are wrong. Sugoi is not “cool”. Not like it matters.

    Texas trying to come back from a 5 run deficit, though I doubt they will…

  186. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:27 pm

    Bring in the gimp, er, Reitsma.

  187. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:29 pm

    Gameday says the Angels just won their game.

    However, the Indians lost earlier today. The M’s are inching closer in the wild card race.

  188. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:29 pm

    “Sweet Caroline”?

  189. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:29 pm

    I’ll never get over the fact that expected runs with runners on first and second with no outs (1.48281) is actually slightly higher than runners on second and third with one out (1.46197). Same thing for runner on first with no outs (0.9073) versus runner on second with one out (0.70653). Sacrifice bunts actually slightly decrease your chances of scoring a run.

    I mean, it’s still better than a strikeout, or otherwise making an out without advancing the runners. But if the batter’s got decent odds to get a hit, it’s better to take that chance and let them swing. They may inadvertently “sacrifice” anyway.

  190. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:29 pm

    That song got more reaction from the crowd than the grand lam.

  191. jeffinfremont on July 14th, 2007 9:30 pm

    Now they’re playing “Sweet Caroline” at The Safe? Do they do anything original there?

  192. joser on July 14th, 2007 9:30 pm

    Why is Reitsma’s music “Sweet Caroline”?

  193. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:31 pm

    189: Actually, IIRC, 2nd and 3rd with one out reduces your chances of scoring a bunch, but does increase your chances of scoring one. Bunting runners to 2nd/3rd makes sense when you desperately need one run.

  194. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:31 pm

    #189
    Earl Weaver was actually telling everybody this back in the 1960s. Hardly anyone, including his players, believed him.

  195. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:32 pm

    Oof. Reitsma’s been not-so-good here. Uhm, new pitcher, please?

  196. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:32 pm

    It’s over! They’re done! Change the channel!

  197. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:32 pm

    191… yesterday, they had this weird clip from “Network” which I hadn’t seen before. Oddest thing I’ve ever seen.

    And what is up with that damn pinball thing?

  198. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:32 pm

    I think people underrate how important outs are. You only get 27. One out is a third of an inning. Outs are precious. Advancing the runners is not a fair trade for an out.

  199. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:32 pm

    Bring out the gimp!

  200. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 9:33 pm

    I wish Green was still in…

  201. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:33 pm

    RUAL IBANEZ HOLY CRAP!

  202. bakomariner on July 14th, 2007 9:33 pm

    fountain of youth by god!

  203. robbbbbb on July 14th, 2007 9:34 pm

    Y’know, Adam Jones would have made that play look easy.

  204. Tak on July 14th, 2007 9:34 pm

    definitely did not expect Raul to contribute to this game in THIS kind of way…

  205. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:34 pm

    189: Thats with an average of batters though. So if it’s the pitcher or Boom Boom it’s probably still a better decision to bunt. But otherwise, bunting early is pretty much a bad decision.

    I couldn’t see how to make the chart show odds of scoring one run. If I remember right they go up slightly going from a runner on first with no outs to one on second with one out. So if you absolutley need one run, in the 9th, bunting with an average hitter may not be a mistake.

  206. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 9:34 pm

    Well, Ibanez may suck at defense, but that was a hell of a catch.

  207. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:35 pm

    I didn’t even begin to expect him to reach that. At least the team is picking up the slack from Ichi’s slow start to the second half.

  208. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:35 pm

    Heck, I wish Batista was still in.

  209. DAMellen on July 14th, 2007 9:36 pm

    Sure it looked cool, but Adam would’ve been standing there waiting for it.

  210. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:36 pm

    I nevger like seeing JJ pitch more than 1 inning – bad move, should bring in George

  211. DAMellen on July 14th, 2007 9:38 pm

    I think McLaren’s afraid if he brought in George, they’d pinch hit with Munroe. This is probably a better match up, but I’m not a huge fan of four out saves either.

  212. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:38 pm

    He threw one pitch, he’s doomed in the 9th.

  213. huhwhat on July 14th, 2007 9:39 pm

    210 – Even if it’s a 1 pitch out?

  214. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:40 pm

    205: That’s why I said “if the batter’s got decent odds of getting a hit”.

    On BP: You don’t have to make it say anything, the link you posted has a chart of all possible situations. It shows the odds for data collected from 2007, but you can change to a different season under Filters.

    Left column: the three numbers are baserunners. 020 is runner on second, 103 is runners on first and third, 123 is bases loaded, etc. Bottom column: runs expected with 0, 1, and 2 outs (EXP_R_OUT_#).

  215. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:40 pm

    What’s Senior Night like at the Safe?

    “Kids, get off my field!”

  216. nathanp2112 on July 14th, 2007 9:41 pm

    213 – Like you can predict the future? Even if you could, I still don’t like it – Putz is the type of guy that gets worked up to come in. Now he has to sit and wait for another 3 outs to go back and finish the game – and try to get up again.

  217. Teej on July 14th, 2007 9:41 pm

    210: Using your best reliever in an extremely high-leverage moment is usually a wise idea.

    Besides, I images that if you brought in Sherrill, Leyland would have pinch-hit Craig Monroe, who crushes lefties.

  218. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:42 pm

    I should say averages, not odds.

  219. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:42 pm

    216 – we’ve been doing that all season. How many of them has JJ blown?

  220. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:42 pm

    The expected runs are there, but I didn’t see any way to display odds of scoring one or more runs, which is often displayed with run expectancy charts. That would be the number you’d want to consider for something like a 9th inning bunt, suicide squeeze, or such sacrifice.

  221. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:43 pm

    (and yes, I knocked on wood after posting 219)

  222. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 9:43 pm

    I think 4 out saves by Putz are fine, but I don’t really understand what’s wrong with Sherrill there. I mean, the odds of Sean Casey getting a hit off of him there? Pretty frickin’ low I would have to think.

  223. msb on July 14th, 2007 9:44 pm

    Blow was just pointing out that if you bring in George, Leyland pinch-hits for Casey, prob. with someone with power.

  224. darrylzero on July 14th, 2007 9:44 pm

    217, good point. I now approve entirely.

    216, no. That doesn’t matter.

  225. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:44 pm

    That Underdog movie is just wrong.

  226. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:45 pm

    Oh okay, as in “chance to score any runs” instead of “chance to score this many runs”?

  227. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:47 pm

    Yep, exactly. Sometimes you don’t need as many runs as possible, just the one.

    Of course, as a manager, I’d still almost never put up a bunt sign.

  228. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:48 pm

    Too bad Richie isn’t just a little taller…

  229. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:48 pm

    Watching that chubby ump contort his body and pump his fists is like watching an overpriced ballet, but you didn’t pay for the ticket.

  230. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:49 pm

    227 – the other thing though is that you want to mix up your plans so you don’t become predictable. Occasionally bunting causes infielders to play further in, which increases the batting average of the hitters.

  231. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:51 pm

    Yeah, I guess that’s true as well. The same as always bunting in the “classic” situations makes it obvious.

    Wow, Putz certainly lost that one…

  232. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:52 pm

    Is Putz now officially the best Mariner closer ever?

  233. ndrfx on July 14th, 2007 9:52 pm

    Man, maybe they should pitch him in the eighth more often.

  234. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:52 pm

    Great result. Now Detroit has the problem of trying to salvage a split against one of the five best teams in baseball.

  235. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:52 pm

    Woo! JJ is outstanding.

    …and, sorry about the Captain Obvious answer ;)

  236. zzyzx on July 14th, 2007 9:52 pm

    Too bad JJ pitched that pitch in the 8th. He might have had a better 9th than striking out the side.

  237. joser on July 14th, 2007 9:54 pm

    I think we can conclude that
    1. Putz isn’t bothered by sitting in the dugout to get to the 9th
    2. He wasn’t bothered by the AllStar Game either.

    FWIW, accoding to Fangraphs that .1 inning JJ pitched in the 8th had as much leverage as all of Batista’s 6 innings.

  238. Sidi on July 14th, 2007 9:54 pm

    232: He hasn’t passed Mesa yet, I mean…awww, I can’t keep a straight face saying that, even over the internet.

    I’d say he has to finish out the season to pass Sasaki, but I think he’ll do so (especially with Sasaki falling apart as he lost the forkball).

  239. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 9:54 pm

    236. You mean the ever-elusive HBP, HBP, unassisted triple play line out?

  240. planB on July 14th, 2007 9:55 pm

    232: I dunno, he’s having an amazing season, but it’s just two seasons of rocking so far. He does have the Ms’ record for most consecutive saves.

  241. msb on July 14th, 2007 9:55 pm

    that Putz kid is pretty good.

  242. huhwhat on July 14th, 2007 9:56 pm

    Now Weaver vs. Verlander…

  243. davepaisley on July 14th, 2007 9:56 pm

    Putz wooooo

  244. joser on July 14th, 2007 9:57 pm

    On the radio they said Bavasi would be on the (radio) after-game show. It’s not like he’s going to be getting any hard questions, but who knows he might drop a hint about Jones and it should be entertaining — maybe they’ll ask him what he really thinks about Dave Samson.

  245. (Expletive) Dave Samson on July 14th, 2007 9:57 pm

    Isn’t that Spicoli vs. Verlander?

  246. agingfan on July 14th, 2007 9:58 pm

    Good point, 242. Detroit must try to salvage a split against Nemesis! Remember the last game of the World Serious, Weaver! It’s what got you this huge contract!

  247. msb on July 14th, 2007 9:59 pm

    I just don’t see the whole Spicoli thing, mostly because Weaver is so danged tall and lanky …

  248. hcoguy on July 14th, 2007 10:01 pm

    It’s the stoner similarity. Or maybe you need to be smoking to see the resemblance.

  249. msb on July 14th, 2007 10:07 pm

    jeez. another reason to be wary of Yankee fans

  250. etowncoug on July 14th, 2007 10:15 pm

    #249

    JJ strikes out the side in the 9th and you are worried about what the fan of a .500 fan did?

    The Putz Human victory cigar thing is really fun to watch.

  251. msb on July 14th, 2007 10:21 pm

    thank you, Bill.

    re: trading for pitching:

    “there are three guys available, and they are not difference-makers”

  252. fetish on July 14th, 2007 10:50 pm

    Why no Sherril?

    Actually, I really like the call to go to Putz in the 8th inning.

    If you use Sherril, like was mentioned last night as well as by the broadcast team, the Tigers bring in Monroe and you lose the platoon advantage. Not that McLaren truly believes that applies to “players” (that is, good players).

    Actually, the real problem with using Sherril is that even if he gets you out of the inning with no damage, you CANNOT run Sherril back out again in the 9th. Not with Putz sitting there in the pen. If you pitch Putz first, you aren’t forced to burn GS for just one out and still have a relief ace available in case something happens with JJ.

  253. DizzleChizzle on July 14th, 2007 10:51 pm

    There’s gotta be a better option then Reitsma. I really can’t stand this guy and I’d almost see Morrow in the game before Reitsma. Putz should’ve had the night off.

  254. JMHawkins on July 14th, 2007 11:44 pm

    Isn’t that Spicoli vs. Verlander?

    Khalil Greene’s starting for us tomorrow?

  255. Downtown Ian on July 14th, 2007 11:44 pm

    Just got back from the game…great atmosphere with all those clutch plays, though like a lot of people already pointed out I wish to GOD they’d stop playing Sweet Caroline. Someone want to write an open letter for that one?

    As Reitsma was warming up, the three outfielders, Raul + Ichiro and his bodyguard (Ellison had replaced Guillen), crouched together in center field and were chatting…too tired now to think of a clever version of what the conversation was, but it must’ve been along the lines of “wanna make a bet which one of us gets to watch the ballgame go over his fence?”

  256. Teej on July 14th, 2007 11:48 pm

    254: Exactly. Khalil Greene is far more Spicoli than Jeff Weaver.

  257. awolfgang on July 15th, 2007 12:28 am

    In regards to the whole Ichiro diving conversation. I believe he has said before that he doesn’t dive for balls, the reward is not worth the risk. Remember the great Griffey catches, and then just hoping that he didn’t snap his wrist or break an ankle. So while I think Ichiro could have dove and made a play or two, I’ll take the trade off of him playing tomorrow. On the whole positioning thing, I think the M’s field management, don’t know if that is Mac or someone else, but I do agree that infield/outfield placement has been poor. Case in point, If I have to see Lopez covering 2nd on a stolen base attempt with a lefty at bat I’ll throw something at the t.v. How obvious is it that the lefty bat will pull a Vidro and roll a grounder where Lopez should be and instead get a single and have runners at 1st and 3rd?

  258. naviomelo on July 15th, 2007 12:35 am

    Was at the game tonight, unbelievable atmosphere – the place really rocked when Putz got 2 strikes on anybody. I have to think that Reitsma’s number was called because Morrow worked 2 innings last night. Green was unbelievable again, he should have got out of there unscathed if it wasn’t for the misplayed ball by Ichiro off of Granderson’s bat. No matter what happens tomorrow, this series hasn’t been a letdown.

  259. crewm on July 15th, 2007 1:14 am

    I believe Ichiro might also be referring to the risk of not making a play when you dive, and therefore giving up more bases, which I think is a legitimate concern.

  260. DizzleChizzle on July 15th, 2007 1:56 am

    The guy has 6 gold gloves so I’d say it’s fair to trust his judgement regarding diving for flyballs.

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