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	<title>Comments on: Stupidity Never Goes Out Of Style</title>
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	<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/</link>
	<description>Seattle Mariners and general baseball discussion with David Cameron and Derek Zumsteg</description>
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		<title>By: galaxieboi</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-2/#comment-241364</link>
		<dc:creator>galaxieboi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:33:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241364</guid>
		<description>The way the NL Central has been playing the last several years I&#039;m not sure any of them &#039;deserve&#039; anything.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The way the NL Central has been playing the last several years I&#8217;m not sure any of them &#8216;deserve&#8217; anything.</p>
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		<title>By: joser</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-2/#comment-241344</link>
		<dc:creator>joser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 06:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241344</guid>
		<description>Who cares, this generation got their ring.  There&#039;s several other teams just in the NL Central who deserve their turns.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Who cares, this generation got their ring.  There&#8217;s several other teams just in the NL Central who deserve their turns.</p>
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		<title>By: JI</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-2/#comment-241338</link>
		<dc:creator>JI</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 05:46:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241338</guid>
		<description>How many decades before St. Louis is competitive again?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How many decades before St. Louis is competitive again?</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Carruth</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-2/#comment-241331</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Carruth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 04:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241331</guid>
		<description>So I went into my 07 DB and pulled out Pineiro&#039;s pitches and sepreated them before and after the trade. 

I think we&#039;ve pretty well established that Pineiro&#039;s nice ERA in StL is the result of 2 things:
1. LOB% of 79.6%.
2. Cut his walk rate in half, down to 1.22% of BF.

Is anyone going to argue that point 1 is anything but a total fluke? His career norm is under 70% and it&#039;s very close to a non-repeatable skill (you have to regress it like 90% and the other 10% basically comes from a pitcher&#039;s K rate, which for Joel, sucks).

So really, the theory that Joel Pineiro made &lt;i&gt;*any*&lt;/i&gt; sort of improvement in St. Louis rests on his reduced walk rate right?

*Pitches called a ball*
Joel Pineiro in Boston: 35.04%
Joel Pineiro in St.Louis: 35.87%

Guess what that likely means for his walk rate going forward?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So I went into my 07 DB and pulled out Pineiro&#8217;s pitches and sepreated them before and after the trade. </p>
<p>I think we&#8217;ve pretty well established that Pineiro&#8217;s nice ERA in StL is the result of 2 things:<br />
1. LOB% of 79.6%.<br />
2. Cut his walk rate in half, down to 1.22% of BF.</p>
<p>Is anyone going to argue that point 1 is anything but a total fluke? His career norm is under 70% and it&#8217;s very close to a non-repeatable skill (you have to regress it like 90% and the other 10% basically comes from a pitcher&#8217;s K rate, which for Joel, sucks).</p>
<p>So really, the theory that Joel Pineiro made <i>*any*</i> sort of improvement in St. Louis rests on his reduced walk rate right?</p>
<p>*Pitches called a ball*<br />
Joel Pineiro in Boston: 35.04%<br />
Joel Pineiro in St.Louis: 35.87%</p>
<p>Guess what that likely means for his walk rate going forward?</p>
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		<title>By: terry</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241326</link>
		<dc:creator>terry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 04:15:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241326</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;47,

no, because I can just remind myself that he’s putting up a .200/.250/.320 line in the postseason so far.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Not anymore, he&#039;s not...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>47,</p>
<p>no, because I can just remind myself that he’s putting up a .200/.250/.320 line in the postseason so far.</p></blockquote>
<p>Not anymore, he&#8217;s not&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Carson</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241318</link>
		<dc:creator>Carson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 03:15:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241318</guid>
		<description>Dave, I thought the &quot;scrap pile&quot; thing sounded like something that had been covered. See: http://ussmariner.com/guillens-extension-no-thanks/

I&#039;m thinking more like Derek on that one. I just don&#039;t think we can expect Guillen&#039;s performance this year to be repeated for three more years. If he stays healthy? Maybe. That is my biggest concern, not the whole &quot;clubhouse cancer&quot; stuff others worry about with him. He&#039;s a better fot than Wlad (should he even stick around..) next year, but after that? I&#039;m not sold.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dave, I thought the &#8220;scrap pile&#8221; thing sounded like something that had been covered. See: <a href="http://ussmariner.com/guillens-extension-no-thanks/" rel="nofollow">http://ussmariner.com/guillens-extension-no-thanks/</a></p>
<p>I&#8217;m thinking more like Derek on that one. I just don&#8217;t think we can expect Guillen&#8217;s performance this year to be repeated for three more years. If he stays healthy? Maybe. That is my biggest concern, not the whole &#8220;clubhouse cancer&#8221; stuff others worry about with him. He&#8217;s a better fot than Wlad (should he even stick around..) next year, but after that? I&#8217;m not sold.</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Carruth</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241315</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Carruth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 02:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241315</guid>
		<description>47,

no, because I can just remind myself that he&#039;s putting up a .200/.250/.320 line in the postseason so far.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>47,</p>
<p>no, because I can just remind myself that he&#8217;s putting up a .200/.250/.320 line in the postseason so far.</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241314</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 02:23:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241314</guid>
		<description>Speaking of stupidity... isn&#039;t it hard to watch Asdrubal Cabrera fly around at second base in the ALCS?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Speaking of stupidity&#8230; isn&#8217;t it hard to watch Asdrubal Cabrera fly around at second base in the ALCS?</p>
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		<title>By: Mike Snow</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241313</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Snow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 01:45:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241313</guid>
		<description>I thought Carpenter was supposed to be the favorite comparison for supporters of Gil Meche, not Pineiro.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I thought Carpenter was supposed to be the favorite comparison for supporters of Gil Meche, not Pineiro.</p>
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		<title>By: stevie_j13</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2007/10/15/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/comment-page-1/#comment-241312</link>
		<dc:creator>stevie_j13</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 01:40:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/stupidity-never-goes-out-of-style/#comment-241312</guid>
		<description>Pineiro isn&#039;t getting paid for 2001-2003, but for the back-end of 2007.  If he had gotten hurt at the end of 2003, and made nothing afterwards, then that would have been terrible, too.  The only reason he&#039;s making money is because he is still healthy and is now a veteran who didn&#039;t implode when given a third opportunity.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pineiro isn&#8217;t getting paid for 2001-2003, but for the back-end of 2007.  If he had gotten hurt at the end of 2003, and made nothing afterwards, then that would have been terrible, too.  The only reason he&#8217;s making money is because he is still healthy and is now a veteran who didn&#8217;t implode when given a third opportunity.</p>
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