Comments on: 2007 Free Agent Landmines

By: CCW

CCW — Tue, 13 Nov 2007 10:06:41 +0000

Nate Silver at BP completely disagrees with Dave on the Lidge trade:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=665.

Two smart guys… I’ll take the average and say it was a reasonably fair trade.

By: Chris88

Chris88 — Mon, 12 Nov 2007 12:25:58 +0000

93 –

A) Because Bourne isn’t that useful, and not even hard to find. The other guys are the same way, and Lidge can be dominating and doesn’t make a ton.

B) Why don’t we just use Clement?

By: swershow

swershow — Mon, 12 Nov 2007 08:10:46 +0000

Dave – With respect to the sidenote about the Brad Lidge trade . . .
A) I was wondering why you see this as such a lopsided deal. It seems to me that Houston got rid of a player they have no need for in exchange for a fairly young and useful part in Bourn.

B) BP mentioned that Luke Scott might be shopped around. Left handed power, corner outfielder, should be cheap . . . should we be interested?

By: thefin190

thefin190 — Mon, 12 Nov 2007 03:41:19 +0000

91- And he probably would’ve won if it weren’t for Beltre’s couple of errors. Seems that things were a little reversed there.

By: scott19

scott19 — Mon, 12 Nov 2007 01:31:20 +0000

87: I know it was only one game, but HoRam — oddly enough — had one of his few quality starts of the year in that building.

You may be on to something with that Metrodome head-scratch.

By: naviomelo

naviomelo — Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:23:55 +0000

88 – Considering we have no idea who’s going to be at 1B next year, who knows? It doesn’t make any difference anyway, since we might as well plug in some undervalued AAA guy (like Blackburn) and spend the savings elsewhere.

By: scott19

scott19 — Sun, 11 Nov 2007 13:09:44 +0000

Silva strikes me as a bit of a right-handed version of guys like Tommy John (a poor man’s, albeit), Randy Jones or Rick Honeycutt from years ago…someone else mentioned Billy Swift…and BR lists Ramiro Mendoza as one of his comparables (the latter two, of course, right-handed). Probably not quite worth the contract he’s likely to get if it’s in the $10 mil/year range…but agreed, he’s still of considerable value to teams which are strong on defense (particularly infield).

Question…is the M’s infield strong enough all the way around yet on a CONSISTENT basis (AB aside) to allow a guy like Silva to pitch to his fullest potential?

By: Steve Nelson

Steve Nelson — Sun, 11 Nov 2007 10:04:18 +0000

AT mlb.com you can obtain GO/AO splits by season, with home and away splits. That should get you at least part way to where you want to go.

By: nathaniel dawson

nathaniel dawson — Sun, 11 Nov 2007 06:42:34 +0000

Silva ERA in Minnesota, 2004-2007: 3.88
Silva ERA on road, 2004-2007: 5.01

Silva FIP in Minnesota, 2004-2007: 4.32
Silva FIP on road, 2004-2007: 5.11

Silva BABIP in Minnesota, 2004-2007: .296
Silva BABIP on road, 2004-2007: .320

Hmmmm….

Now I would call that interesting. Especially the ERA. The other two numbes, eh. Not at all what you would expect, given what we know about that park. It’s only one pitcher, so we can’t make too much out of it, but it does get you to thinking. Now I’m very curious to know how all pitchers fare in the Metrodome, given their groundball/flyball tendencies. I just wish I had something that would give me the answer.

By: terry

terry — Sun, 11 Nov 2007 03:22:26 +0000

I honestly think a lot of GMs will simply look at 190 IP/yr and career ERA of 4.30 with the cursory perusing of his physical/medical report…