<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: And a sign of hope, too</title>
	<atom:link href="http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/</link>
	<description>Seattle Mariners and general baseball discussion with David Cameron and Derek Zumsteg</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 19:12:43 -0800</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5</generator>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
		<item>
		<title>By: eponymous coward</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-4/#comment-266969</link>
		<dc:creator>eponymous coward</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 07:44:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266969</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;Except I’m not sure that wasn’t an accident — the bullpen was just the bottom of the priority list.&lt;/em&gt;

Keep in mind that Eddie Guardado is STILL pitching in this league. There&#039;s been the occasional Reitsma, but no, really, since 2004 the team&#039;s realized your farm system can give you an arm or two a year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Except I’m not sure that wasn’t an accident — the bullpen was just the bottom of the priority list.</em></p>
<p>Keep in mind that Eddie Guardado is STILL pitching in this league. There&#8217;s been the occasional Reitsma, but no, really, since 2004 the team&#8217;s realized your farm system can give you an arm or two a year.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: John in L.A.</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-4/#comment-266858</link>
		<dc:creator>John in L.A.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 01:13:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266858</guid>
		<description>This time has a hundred different problems, none of them named Adrian and this thread is dominated by a &quot;trade Beltre&quot; discussion?

&quot; This isn’t that difficult guys. If one team needs help now, then they’ll often give up more talent than they get back if the player they get back helps them short term.&quot;

The problem with that argument is that Beltre is not 35. He is not someone impossible to resign and in the last year of their contract.

If you were really, really lucky, what you traded Beltre for MIGHT someday grow up to be... Beltre. 

I would love to see the Ms aggressively get younger and jettison vets that are in their way... but Beltre is one of our biggest assets at this point. The Ms would be insane to trade him (for anything they could realistically get, of course).

Also... Beltre hasn&#039;t stunk for the last three years, which seems to be part of the premise of the trade him argument. He has been overall very valuable to the team.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This time has a hundred different problems, none of them named Adrian and this thread is dominated by a &#8220;trade Beltre&#8221; discussion?</p>
<p>&#8221; This isn’t that difficult guys. If one team needs help now, then they’ll often give up more talent than they get back if the player they get back helps them short term.&#8221;</p>
<p>The problem with that argument is that Beltre is not 35. He is not someone impossible to resign and in the last year of their contract.</p>
<p>If you were really, really lucky, what you traded Beltre for MIGHT someday grow up to be&#8230; Beltre. </p>
<p>I would love to see the Ms aggressively get younger and jettison vets that are in their way&#8230; but Beltre is one of our biggest assets at this point. The Ms would be insane to trade him (for anything they could realistically get, of course).</p>
<p>Also&#8230; Beltre hasn&#8217;t stunk for the last three years, which seems to be part of the premise of the trade him argument. He has been overall very valuable to the team.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: gwangung</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266854</link>
		<dc:creator>gwangung</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:40:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266854</guid>
		<description>Trading Beltre?

Again. Um, you&#039;re creating a hole in the defense. AND you&#039;re creating a hole on the offense. Unless you&#039;re going to be filling at least THREE holes, I don&#039;t think you&#039;re gaining anything with a trade.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trading Beltre?</p>
<p>Again. Um, you&#8217;re creating a hole in the defense. AND you&#8217;re creating a hole on the offense. Unless you&#8217;re going to be filling at least THREE holes, I don&#8217;t think you&#8217;re gaining anything with a trade.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: joser</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266853</link>
		<dc:creator>joser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:39:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266853</guid>
		<description>Latest word on the A&#039;s is that they won&#039;t be moving into Cisco Field &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=2115&amp;Itemid=56&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;until 2012&lt;/a&gt;.  So that gives the M&#039;s a little more breathing room to win the division a couple of times before newly rich and always smart Beane dooms us all forever.

&lt;i&gt;Much of the problems with the 2008 Mariners are easy fixes, given competent management, simply by understanding the concept of “replacement level”, especially as applied to DH/1B/corner OF, and the back end of the rotation. They’ve actually correctly understood this when it comes to the bullpen, so this isn’t TOO much of a stretch.&lt;/i&gt; 

Except I&#039;m not sure that wasn&#039;t an accident -- the bullpen was just the bottom of the priority list.  I guess we&#039;ll have to wait and see if they really have learned the lesson now that the replacement level bullpen has been taking wins away from the starters.  Will McLaren whine for another veteran like Parrish/Mateo/White?  Will Bavasi give him one?  Will he then get used in game after game to demonstrate veterans can repeatedly lose games just like replacement level kids?

&lt;i&gt;normally reliable bullpen melts down&lt;/i&gt;

That reliable bullpen was &lt;i&gt;last year&#039;s&lt;/i&gt; bullpen.  It had its share of luck (in case you don&#039;t remember Morrow&#039;s walk-the-bases-loaded tightrope outings) and since then a key piece went to Baltimore.

&lt;i&gt;Balentien - He has all the tools, let the kid play.  Great arm in RF and he hits for power the other way, a big key in Safeco.&lt;/i&gt;

What?  By every account he is a pull hitter.

&lt;i&gt;cha right brah!&lt;/i&gt;

I&#039;ve never seen that written before but, whoah, dude, you just channeled every Spicoli-esque surfer directly into my brain.  Khalil Greene is in there hanging with the Weaver brothers.  Make them stop!

Also, can we not talk about &quot;gritty feces&quot; -- veteran or not?  Owwwww.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Latest word on the A&#8217;s is that they won&#8217;t be moving into Cisco Field <a href="http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=2115&amp;Itemid=56" rel="nofollow">until 2012</a>.  So that gives the M&#8217;s a little more breathing room to win the division a couple of times before newly rich and always smart Beane dooms us all forever.</p>
<p><i>Much of the problems with the 2008 Mariners are easy fixes, given competent management, simply by understanding the concept of “replacement level”, especially as applied to DH/1B/corner OF, and the back end of the rotation. They’ve actually correctly understood this when it comes to the bullpen, so this isn’t TOO much of a stretch.</i> </p>
<p>Except I&#8217;m not sure that wasn&#8217;t an accident &#8212; the bullpen was just the bottom of the priority list.  I guess we&#8217;ll have to wait and see if they really have learned the lesson now that the replacement level bullpen has been taking wins away from the starters.  Will McLaren whine for another veteran like Parrish/Mateo/White?  Will Bavasi give him one?  Will he then get used in game after game to demonstrate veterans can repeatedly lose games just like replacement level kids?</p>
<p><i>normally reliable bullpen melts down</i></p>
<p>That reliable bullpen was <i>last year&#8217;s</i> bullpen.  It had its share of luck (in case you don&#8217;t remember Morrow&#8217;s walk-the-bases-loaded tightrope outings) and since then a key piece went to Baltimore.</p>
<p><i>Balentien &#8211; He has all the tools, let the kid play.  Great arm in RF and he hits for power the other way, a big key in Safeco.</i></p>
<p>What?  By every account he is a pull hitter.</p>
<p><i>cha right brah!</i></p>
<p>I&#8217;ve never seen that written before but, whoah, dude, you just channeled every Spicoli-esque surfer directly into my brain.  Khalil Greene is in there hanging with the Weaver brothers.  Make them stop!</p>
<p>Also, can we not talk about &#8220;gritty feces&#8221; &#8212; veteran or not?  Owwwww.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: lylepdx</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266852</link>
		<dc:creator>lylepdx</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:22:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266852</guid>
		<description>Jones is done. 

165/244/253

18k/8bb

and 0 steals vs. 1 CS.

done.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jones is done. </p>
<p>165/244/253</p>
<p>18k/8bb</p>
<p>and 0 steals vs. 1 CS.</p>
<p>done.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Uncle Ted</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266851</link>
		<dc:creator>Uncle Ted</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:06:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266851</guid>
		<description>Jacque Jones just got DFA&#039;d is he worth picking up at this point in his career?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jacque Jones just got DFA&#8217;d is he worth picking up at this point in his career?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Typical Idiot Fan</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266850</link>
		<dc:creator>Typical Idiot Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 00:03:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266850</guid>
		<description>Well, I don&#039;t think we want Jacque Jones.  He&#039;s showing all the signs of being &quot;done&quot; as a major league hitter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, I don&#8217;t think we want Jacque Jones.  He&#8217;s showing all the signs of being &#8220;done&#8221; as a major league hitter.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: beckya57</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266849</link>
		<dc:creator>beckya57</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2008 23:54:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266849</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not in favor of moving Beltre, unless the team does decide to really blow things up and go very young.  He&#039;s one of the few quality players they have, and I don&#039;t have any confidence that this FO would get comparable value for him.  Since Sexson, Ibanez and Vidro don&#039;t have any value, that isn&#039;t such a big problem in their cases.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not in favor of moving Beltre, unless the team does decide to really blow things up and go very young.  He&#8217;s one of the few quality players they have, and I don&#8217;t have any confidence that this FO would get comparable value for him.  Since Sexson, Ibanez and Vidro don&#8217;t have any value, that isn&#8217;t such a big problem in their cases.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: beckya57</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266848</link>
		<dc:creator>beckya57</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2008 23:52:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266848</guid>
		<description>Joser: You&#039;re right that I thought Ichiro was older than 34.  Given that age and his conditioning (plus the type of player he is), he figures to be productive for a few more years.  And I agree with several others that he&#039;s very valuable for marketing.  I stand by my negative evaluation of Johjima and his contract; catchers just don&#039;t last that long.  This was yet another example of the overvaluing veterans fallacy.  Beyond that, the quality players on this team, in addition to Ichiro, include Beltre, Betancourt, Lopez, Putz and of course Felix, and possibly Clement and Balentien.  I&#039;m eliminating Bedard because I think he&#039;s going to be injured too often to be of significant value.  The team needs to get rid of the rest of the aging, overpaid veterans, get younger, more mobile and more agile, and hire people who can actually evaluate talent.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joser: You&#8217;re right that I thought Ichiro was older than 34.  Given that age and his conditioning (plus the type of player he is), he figures to be productive for a few more years.  And I agree with several others that he&#8217;s very valuable for marketing.  I stand by my negative evaluation of Johjima and his contract; catchers just don&#8217;t last that long.  This was yet another example of the overvaluing veterans fallacy.  Beyond that, the quality players on this team, in addition to Ichiro, include Beltre, Betancourt, Lopez, Putz and of course Felix, and possibly Clement and Balentien.  I&#8217;m eliminating Bedard because I think he&#8217;s going to be injured too often to be of significant value.  The team needs to get rid of the rest of the aging, overpaid veterans, get younger, more mobile and more agile, and hire people who can actually evaluate talent.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Gomez</title>
		<link>http://ussmariner.com/2008/05/05/and-a-sign-of-hope-too/comment-page-3/#comment-266847</link>
		<dc:creator>Gomez</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2008 23:50:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/?p=5123#comment-266847</guid>
		<description>108.  &lt;blockquote&gt;If one team needs help now, then they’ll often give up more talent than they get back if the player they get back helps them short term.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Never minding that this is an incredible leap of faith... who out there has an extra quality MLB-ready 3B sitting around, that they are perfectly willing to deal to us, and how much talent are they going to want?  And why would they have such a player in their org that they have no intention of playing?

It is NOT as easy as you think it is to replace a top shelf 3B.  Matt Gamel is not going to come close to match Adrian Beltre&#039;s production at 3B, and you can&#039;t even guarantee the guy will give you anything much above replacement level.  And that assumes the Brewers, per your hypothetical scenario, are even willing to talk turkey on a deal... which of course precludes you can and will deal Beltre.

And making a deal just to &#039;rebuild&#039; isn&#039;t as simple either.  Who do you intend to pick up by dealing Beltre?  Do other GM&#039;s agree with your assessment?  If your expected return is a bunch of prospects, what happens if they don&#039;t pan out or several aren&#039;t nearly ready for the bigs?

There are a lot of unanswered questions that would need to be answered, that would require some sort of battle plan, before a GM even gets on the phone to entertain such possibilities.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>108.<br />
<blockquote>If one team needs help now, then they’ll often give up more talent than they get back if the player they get back helps them short term.</p></blockquote>
<p>Never minding that this is an incredible leap of faith&#8230; who out there has an extra quality MLB-ready 3B sitting around, that they are perfectly willing to deal to us, and how much talent are they going to want?  And why would they have such a player in their org that they have no intention of playing?</p>
<p>It is NOT as easy as you think it is to replace a top shelf 3B.  Matt Gamel is not going to come close to match Adrian Beltre&#8217;s production at 3B, and you can&#8217;t even guarantee the guy will give you anything much above replacement level.  And that assumes the Brewers, per your hypothetical scenario, are even willing to talk turkey on a deal&#8230; which of course precludes you can and will deal Beltre.</p>
<p>And making a deal just to &#8216;rebuild&#8217; isn&#8217;t as simple either.  Who do you intend to pick up by dealing Beltre?  Do other GM&#8217;s agree with your assessment?  If your expected return is a bunch of prospects, what happens if they don&#8217;t pan out or several aren&#8217;t nearly ready for the bigs?</p>
<p>There are a lot of unanswered questions that would need to be answered, that would require some sort of battle plan, before a GM even gets on the phone to entertain such possibilities.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>
