Current GM Handicapping: Tuesday

DMZ · September 30, 2008 at 8:46 am · Filed Under Mariners 

A semi-random gauge of who’s likely to get the job. Based on current press coverage, rumors, substantiated and un, educated guesses, and so on. We claim no insight into front office machinations. Please, no wagering.

For names and brief resumes, check our potential GM candidates post.

Who Percent
LaCava 25%
Hahn 23%
Woodfork 21%
Ng 10%
Avila 5%
DiPoto/Hinch/Hoyer 3%
Antonetti 1%
Evans 1%
Forst 1%
Pelekoudas 1%
White 1%
Bulk candidates  
Sitting GM 3%
Field 5%

“Sitting GM” is someone who currently has a GM job: Kevin Towers, for instance.
“Field” is everyone not listed.

New to the list: Rick Hahn, White Sox assistant general manager.
Significant change: DePodesta drops to 0%

Updated to take Mike’s suggestion and clean up a typo.

Comments

16 Responses to “Current GM Handicapping: Tuesday”

  1. msb on September 30th, 2008 8:15 am

    also in the PI, Andriesen on GM candidates, with a list of possibles, and Hickey talks field manager. In the TNT, Larue has his list of GMs

  2. Mothy on September 30th, 2008 8:52 am

    Is that a different Hahn at 1% than the one at 23% or is it a mistake?

  3. Mike Snow on September 30th, 2008 8:59 am

    No Doug Melvin, considering the flurry of mentions he’s gotten lately? Or maybe replace Towers with a generic “sitting GM” to cover everyone under that heading? Towers may be the most likely, but I don’t find that much to distinguish the credibility of those various rumors.

  4. Evan on September 30th, 2008 9:11 am

    I’d be happy to see LaCava get the job. He’s not my first choice, but he might be in the top three.

  5. DMZ on September 30th, 2008 9:14 am

    Fixed and fixed.

  6. msb on September 30th, 2008 9:22 am

    Larue mentions Melvin, and of course, Stone did yesterday

  7. Aaron on September 30th, 2008 9:32 am

    So I’ve gone through the other posts about these folks, but it’s not always a slam-dunk to determine which are potentially USSM-approved. Would it be possible to get a letter grade, or maybe a ranking of preference?

    I guess ultimately it doesn’t matter, as it’s the team decision, and you may not have all the information to give a solid grading, but I’d sure like to be able to temper my expectations if we start hearing more from the team about a name who is still the same old-school type who got the team into this mess in the first place.

  8. Dave Clapper on September 30th, 2008 10:05 am

    Why the huge jump in odds since the last posting for Hahn getting the job?

  9. Dave on September 30th, 2008 10:11 am

    Some rumors kicked around yesterday.

  10. Steve T on September 30th, 2008 10:25 am

    Doug Melvin’s not on the list because Lincoln and Armstrong think he’s Bob Melvin.

  11. Tek Jansen on September 30th, 2008 12:24 pm

    Do “bulk candidates” come cheaper than the premium brands? Sure, it is hassle to place them in the plastic bag with those flimsy tongs, but they will save you a bundle.

  12. HamNasty on September 30th, 2008 1:03 pm

    Is there any mention of a time line the M’s want their GM hired by? I would assume before the winter meetings but do they have a set date in mind?

  13. msb on September 30th, 2008 1:20 pm

    pre Andriesen in the PI

    “The Mariners on Monday began seeking permission from other teams to interview their employees, and they anticipate being rebuffed in some cases. Pelekoudas will be considered.

    The Mariners will begin interviewing candidates next week and hope to make an announcement by the end of the month. It will probably not be until after the conclusion of the World Series, which, barring changes, will fall between Oct. 26 and Oct. 30.”

  14. joser on September 30th, 2008 1:34 pm

    You know, it would be awesome to have the current odds/percentages (maybe with a delta or up/down arrow to indicate significant movers) towards the top of that right hand column on the front page. Derek probably doesn’t want to mess with the formatting of the site, but given that this is the only post-season “competition” the M’s are involved in, it would be fun to have standings there so we could follow the “race” (and cheer for our favorites). Of course, it’s probably going to end as disappointingly as the season did, but I’m an M’s fan, I’m used to depressing endings.

  15. Dave Hall on September 30th, 2008 5:21 pm

    [disregarding]

  16. Jeremy on September 30th, 2008 7:26 pm

    Joser @1:34

    Yeah, following the GM race is definitely more exciting than following the hydros on the Jumbotron in between innings.

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