Community Projections On A Large Scale
If you remember back a few years ago, Jeff Sullivan and I attempted to give you guys the opportunity to do community projections, taking the idea of the Wisdom of Crowds and applying it to forecasting the performance of our favorite team. It was a nice idea, but was always a pain in the rear to manage, and never got quite enough participation to make it as useful as it could have been.
Well, the community projections are back, and this time, no spreadsheets needed. Just head over to FanGraphs, because David Appelman has built a system to handle the inputs for every player in baseball. We’re taking the projections to a much larger scale and giving you an easy system to use for the projections.
Seriously, go check it out. It’s awesome. Start projecting players that you feel like you have some kind of feel for how they’ll do next year. Once the community has reached a minimum level of projections for a player, his fan projection will show up on the FanGraphs player page, right next to CHONE/ZiPS/Marcel, etc…
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7 Responses to “Community Projections On A Large Scale”
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I wondered what happened to those.
I’d like to see the follow-up analysis (after the season is over) to see how good the ‘community’ is at this stuff.
‘course, I’d like to know the 25-man before I settle down and place my estimates/predictions.
I’m glad it’s back.
When I saw the headline, my first thought was, “What’s that supposed to mean, are they asking us to predict how the clean players would have performed if they had been juicing?”
Yeah I was expecting to see something about voting on whether or not we thought certain players had used steroids.
Well, I’d already visited Fangraphs over the weekend and was aware of the project so when I saw this headline I immediately made the association — but I can clearly see how it can be interpreted in another way. But maybe Dave was making a little joke too, considering how any sort of stand-out or even merely improved performance by any player draws a predictable and tedious response from certain commenters at Fangraphs (who generally never seem to contribute anything else).
Massive double-take reading the post title. “Surely they aren’t inviting *that* discussion….”
…and now the “S” word is gone and our entire repartee seems weirdly incongruous and nonsensical.
Better title. 🙂