Game 130, White Sox at Mariners

marc w · August 26, 2011 at 4:09 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Furbush vs. Peavy, 7:10pm

The essentially killed off one AL Central contender with their series win in Cleveland, and now the division’s other moribund team comes to town. The White Sox playoff odds aren’t good, but they’re also not zero – and so they put in a waiver claim on the Twins’ Jason Kubel, though they haven’t yet worked out a deal for him. The Indians, undaunted by the beating the M’s put on them, picked up Jim Thome on waivers from the Indians yesterday.

This is actually one of the crueler things about a close race between mediocre teams. It’s anyone’s race! It’s there for the taking! They can gloss over the fact that they’re terrible – the other team’s not exactly the 1927 Yankees, so forget rebuilding, let’s go for it! That’s led to some trades that will likely backfire (Ubaldo Jimenez) and the bizarre split personality of the Tigers/White Sox, who’ve given up players, then scrambled to find replacements.

I get it; the M’s went through this not so long ago when they found themselves in the thick of the 2007 divisional race. The team desperately needed an upgrade, and ended up trading Shin-Soo Choo and Asdrubal Cabrera for a talking head and a folk-rock crooner. At the time, many loved the deals, and while we all hate how they turned out, I think most people would give up quite a lot to believe that the team is committed to winning now. That actually creates some odd incentives, though I have to admit that being overly cautious is not a great solution.

I guess my real point is: can you believe the White Sox were contenders? Really? They started off 11-22, and have slowly edged up towards .500 despite the fact that they’ve got the worst player in baseball in the heart of the line-up, and the third-worst player attempts to cover CF for them. Yes, yes, the M’s had two of the worst hitters in baseball in their line-up, but 1) at least they could play credible defense, 2) the M’s weren’t paying $24.5m for their bad players, and don’t owe them another $82 million between 2012-2015, and 3) the M’s aren’t contenders.

Jake Peavy, tonight’s starter, makes more than Rios OR Dunn this year. At least he’s been decent when not on the disabled list; his 3.11 FIP’s been worth 2.5fWAR this season. A terrible strand rate makes his RA look bad, especially next to what they’re paying him, but he’s still a guy with good command and an ability to miss bats. In San Diego, Peavy featured an above-average FB and a sharp slider, then worked in a change and a curve a bit. Now, he’s got a cutter in between his FB and slider, though with his FB velocity down, he’s not missing a ton of bats with either the FB or the cutter. Given his arsenal, it’s perhaps not surprising that he’s got some fairly sizable platoon splits – shutting down righties, while being merely good against lefties in his career. The M’s are suddenly able to roll out a credible line-up full of lefty bats, so this is perhaps a better match-up than it would’ve been a month or two ago, but then every game was a terrible match-up for the M’s in June-July. That said, the M’s haven’t really tried to maximize every platoon advantage. We’ve seen Casper Wells in the line-up against righties, and today we’ll see Wily Mo Pena. Perhaps part of this is that they can’t use a lefty DH with Smoak’s injury, but I think the M’s seem committed to getting a look at a lot of the new guys – they don’t want to presume that they’re platoon guys. That’s admirable, but I’m still looking forward to the flexibility this line-up should have once everyone’s healthy. It also reinforces the idea that the standard 7-man bullpen is the new market inefficiency.

The line-up:
1: Ichiro (RF)
2: Gutierrez (CF)
3: Ackley (2B)
4: Carp (1B)
5: Olivo (C)
6: Seager (3B)
7: Pena (Crush fastball)
8: Ryan (SS)
9: Robinson (LF)

Comments

26 Responses to “Game 130, White Sox at Mariners”

  1. tubbabubba22 on August 26th, 2011 4:53 pm

    In the last 7 days, Ichiro is hitting

    AVG. – .375
    OBP – .429
    SLG – .469
    OPS – .897

    and he has 12 hits and 3 weeks.

    Thaaaaaaat’s more like it.

  2. Paul B on August 26th, 2011 6:05 pm

    The Indians, undaunted by the beating the M’s put on them, picked up Jim Thome on waivers from the Indians yesterday

    Sounds like the Indians were very groggy from the whupping the M’s put on them.

  3. Paul B on August 26th, 2011 6:25 pm

    I’m still looking forward to the flexibility this line-up should have once everyone’s healthy

    Having one or two players on the bench who can actually hit a little as well as play the field will be a refreshing change.

  4. Paul B on August 26th, 2011 6:27 pm

    “got the worst player in baseball in the heart of the line-up”

    Where are all the people who were saying the M’s should sign Adam Dunn or Lyle Overbay?

  5. Celadus on August 26th, 2011 6:32 pm

    What conceivable, plausible line of reasoning leads to Olivo continuing to bat 5th? Note: “Veteran canny presence” is conceivable, not plausible.

  6. Paul B on August 26th, 2011 6:33 pm

    Dingers!

    Actually, Wedge has some sort of love for the type of hitter Olivo is, for no discernable reason.

  7. asuray on August 26th, 2011 6:59 pm

    Took a peek at Marc’s link and noticed Ichiro’s -11.5 UZR/150 in RF this season. Ouch. His three year trend still looks okay, but all the same…

  8. juneau_fan on August 26th, 2011 7:22 pm

    Ugh, it’s going to be one of those games?

  9. juneau_fan on August 26th, 2011 7:47 pm

    Dinger indeed, Paul B.

  10. auldguy on August 26th, 2011 8:13 pm

    they’ve got the worst player in baseball in the heart of the line-up, and the third-worst player attempts to cover CF for them.

    Interesting that the same list you cite has Ichiro as the eight worst of 157 players rated. Am I reading that right?

  11. Westside guy on August 26th, 2011 8:16 pm

    Who would you rather face – Carp or Olivo?

    Yeah, me too.

  12. Westside guy on August 26th, 2011 8:17 pm

    And that’s why.

  13. juneau_fan on August 26th, 2011 8:17 pm

    And Olivio taketh away…

  14. Westside guy on August 26th, 2011 8:21 pm

    All the people that have ragged on Ichiro for the past decade are really enjoying this year…

    I’m still hoping he has a torrid September.

  15. Westside guy on August 26th, 2011 9:05 pm

    Ichiro does seem to be showing his age fairly often out in the field.

  16. lalo on August 26th, 2011 9:24 pm

    Wow! Wilhelmsen looked great…

  17. henryv on August 26th, 2011 10:03 pm

    I really hope that the M’s select Mike Curto to call games on the radio next year. I really enjoy his style, and I think that given that the team will be about 10 people that played in Tacoma this year, it’s not like he won’t know the players. Hell, next year there will be more players from Tacoma than Seattle playing in the majors.

  18. juneau_fan on August 26th, 2011 10:07 pm

    This game is never going to end. And not in a good way.

  19. henryv on August 26th, 2011 10:15 pm

    “Every single Mariner has struck out.”

    I’m blaming this on Olivo.

  20. SadPanda on August 26th, 2011 10:17 pm

    So much yuck at bats in crucial spots tonight. Blahhhhhh.

  21. henryv on August 26th, 2011 10:18 pm

    M’s ending it mercifully. This game was a lot like “Attack of the Clones”. Uncomfortable dialog, poor performance, and lasting way too long.

  22. G-Man on August 26th, 2011 10:19 pm

    That set up nicely for the Sox to use the sidewinding lefty to close – 3 of 4 batters were lefties. Maybe Wedge can break them up a bit tomorrow? Granted the lefties are our best hitters, but still.

  23. macaberdeen on August 26th, 2011 10:20 pm

    The Mariners are now 13-14 since The Streak. In fact, without The Streak, the Mariners are just one game under .500.

  24. UnderTheClouds on August 26th, 2011 11:05 pm

    8 strikeouts for Jake Peavy. But why he threw a first pitch fastball to Olivo in the 2nd is inexplicable. Did he leave the scouting report in the hotel in Anaheim? He recovered nicely for Olivo’s next at bat, with the bases loaded. That 3 pitch strikeout has to be the worst M’s at-bat of the season.

    I told myself I’d rather watch this team lose with young players than with old ones, and I’m getting my wish. Now I’d like to see them take advantage of mediocre pitchers.

  25. jwgrandsalami on August 27th, 2011 8:44 am

    Marc — the trades of Asdrubal Cabrera and Choo happened in 2006 (not 2007), as the M’s acquired Ben Broussard and Eduardo Perez to replace Carl Everett. They did contend into September in ’07, but didn’t make any mid-season moves. That was Vidro’s first year and Jose Guillen’s only year with the team…

  26. groundzero55 on August 27th, 2011 8:50 am

    That 3 pitch strikeout has to be the worst M’s at-bat of the season.

    No, I think the partial intentional walk / swinging strikeout of Peguero was possibly the worst ever. Like, EVER.

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