Game 32, Tigers at Mariners

Dave · May 8, 2012 at 5:44 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Millwood vs Verlander, 7:10 pm.

When people talk about potential rotation changes, inevitably we end up hearing someone talk about how Millwood should be the first guy to go. After all, he’s 37-years-old, so he’s not any kind of long term solution, and his 5.34 ERA shows that he’s washed up. Really, though, only the first part of that sentence is true.

Millwood’s relevant stats to date: 7.9% BB%, 15.0% K%, 45.4% GB%. AL averages for starting pitchers in 2012: 7.9% BB%, 17.6% K%, 43.9% GB%. Millwood’s stuff has declined to the point where his strikeout rate is just south of league average, but he’s right in line with the norms in both walk rate and ground ball rate. Look at his career line, and this is what Millwood is – an average BB/GB guy and a slightly below average K guy. He is essentially the classic #5 starter.

His ERA is bloated by a .344 BABIP and a 59.2% strand rate, neither of which are going to continue. There’s nothing wrong with Kevin Millwood, and he’s a decent enough guy to have as an innings eater at the back of the rotation to let the kids develop down in the minors so the organization doesn’t have to rush them before they’re ready. He’s better than Blake Beavan, and at this point, he’s better than Hector Noesi, though at least Noesi has the upside to become something more than what he is now. Don’t be so quick to throw Millwood to the curb – he’s still a useful piece for this team.

Ackley, 2B
Ryan, SS
Ichiro, RF
Montero, C
Seager, 3B
Jaso, DH
Smoak, 1B
Carp, LF
Saunders, CF

Comments

134 Responses to “Game 32, Tigers at Mariners”

  1. hidalgo on May 8th, 2012 10:06 pm

    It’s deja vu all over again.

  2. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:07 pm

    We need TWO runs, Wedge.

  3. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:07 pm

    This is the ideal role for Figgy. Claudell Washington impersonator.

    Come on Ackley!

  4. marcus_andrews on May 8th, 2012 10:07 pm

    Hey let’s bunt our best hitter so that our 9th best hitter can be up with men in scoring position…

  5. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:09 pm

    Oh, Figgins is running for Carp.

  6. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:09 pm

    Straight from the Wedge Book of Logic

  7. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:09 pm

    No dp’s Ryan. Give Ichiro a chance to win this game.

  8. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:10 pm

    I was referring to Ackley attempting to bunt

  9. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:10 pm

    Wow, what a break.

  10. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:10 pm

    Geez Mike, were you trying to jinx him?!

  11. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:10 pm

    Yes, that was why we wanted Ackley to bunt – so Ryan could GIDP.

    Thank you Prince!

  12. neo-realist on May 8th, 2012 10:11 pm

    Fielder-Glove of Stone

  13. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:11 pm

    Detroit will be regretting that deal after year #3, mark my words.

  14. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:13 pm

    Well THIS is interesting..

  15. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:13 pm

    I had wondered the same thing, Steve … But types it anyway.

    Come on Eech!

    Okay, come on Jesus!

  16. seahopp on May 8th, 2012 10:14 pm

    I really want Montero to come through here. This would cement him as a savior with the casual fans.

  17. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:14 pm

    I think Prince’s “core” got in the way of catching that ball.

  18. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:14 pm

    Really hope Montero makes them pay

  19. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:14 pm

    Not a fan of this move, given Valverde’s trouble finding the zone. But crap.

  20. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:15 pm

    We caught a break on that call.

  21. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:16 pm

    Yeah, clearly a strike

  22. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:18 pm

    That was a nice catch, I’ll give him that.

  23. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:18 pm

    Geez … Great catch, Kelly

  24. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:19 pm

    Geez, give him credit…. great catch

  25. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:20 pm

    Wow, had to do a double-take Mike. Thought I double posted.

  26. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:22 pm

    Really wish Ackley wasn’t bunting. Just didn’t make sense with Ryan on deck. At least the game was interesting.

  27. Slats on May 8th, 2012 10:24 pm

    Wedge sucks.

  28. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:25 pm

    Ugh. I’m tired of complaining about Wedge, but it’s hard not to.

  29. msfanmike on May 8th, 2012 10:25 pm

    Is there any way that Liddi does not start at 1B tomorrow? Never mind, I know there is a way. Carp is better over there than Liddi, but Liddi can’t play left. I would have Liddi in the lineup tomorrow. He needs some AB’s and we need a Smoak break.

  30. IdahoInvader on May 8th, 2012 10:26 pm

    There’s no way a bunt there isn’t stupid. That’s not even counting the fact it completely DIDN’T work.

  31. raul_podzednick on May 8th, 2012 10:27 pm

    Ackley BUNTING!!!! to bring Ryan up? Ryan who is hitting UNDER .200?!?!?

  32. IdahoInvader on May 8th, 2012 10:27 pm

    Not PH for Ryan also equally wedgie wizard like.

  33. stevemotivateir on May 8th, 2012 10:29 pm

    -And Ryan is a right-handed hitter, so the odds were not in his favor.

  34. Westside guy on May 8th, 2012 10:37 pm

    Let’s continue this ranting in the new thread Dave just posted… hehehe

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