Game 144, Astros at Mariners

marc w · September 9, 2014 at 6:02 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Roenis Elias vs. Collin McHugh, 7:10pm
Wildcard Odds – Fangraphs.com: 59.3% Baseballprospectus.com: 55.6%

You can see what last night’s comeback win did for the M’s wildcard odds. That was a huge comeback, and while it perhaps shouldn’t have taken a late-innings triple to salvage a game against the Astros started by Felix, a win is a win. Felix was not sharp at all last night; I felt his change-up was missing all over the place (usually down, which is better than missing up) and he got through it by throwing some curves and by being Felix.

Today’s match-up features two of the least-likely average-ish starters in all of baseball. Last year, Collin McHugh was cut by two teams, and in a handful of big league innings, compiled an ERA over 10, and a FIP near 6. He did not make the Astros starting rotation out of spring training, which isn’t quite as damning an indictment of one’s big league prospects as it once was, but is not an encouraging sign. In a few PCL appearances in the beginning of the year he was underwhelming. He came up to make a spot start against the M’s during the M’s spring tailspin and pitched 6 2/3 shutout innings with 12 Ks and no walks. Who the hell is Collin McHugh?

Apparently, the biggest change for him is when a Houston coach told him to scrap his sinker and stick with a four-seam fastball that (apparently) hides his curve ball well. As you’d expect, he doesn’t get too many grounders, but with a good enough fastball (at 92), and a surprisingly effective curve, he’s nearing 3 fWAR on the year.

1: Jackson, CF
2: Chavez, LF
3: Cano, 2B
4: Seager, 3B
5: Morales, DH
6: Morrison, 1B
7: Zunino, C
8: Saunders, RF
9: Miller, SS
SP: Elias

Comments

60 Responses to “Game 144, Astros at Mariners”

  1. WTF_Ms on September 9th, 2014 10:06 pm

    I hate to say I told ya so, but….

  2. JMB on September 9th, 2014 10:07 pm

    We should bring the fences in. Just sayin’.

  3. Longgeorge1 on September 9th, 2014 10:08 pm

    “Pinch” runner warming up in pen!

  4. Longgeorge1 on September 9th, 2014 10:09 pm

    Strike 3 called way to “work” the count

  5. JMB on September 9th, 2014 10:09 pm

    Definitely wasn’t looking for that pitch.

  6. WTF_Ms on September 9th, 2014 10:10 pm

    F*&k, F*&k, F*&k, F*&k, F*&k….You’d think Felix was pitching with the run support they gave the pitchers tonight.

  7. Grayfox3d on September 9th, 2014 10:11 pm

    way to put up a fight tonight guys! managing two hits, and letting a struggling pitcher stay in there to take the L! oh well, we can get them tomorrow right?…eh.

  8. WTF_Ms on September 9th, 2014 10:12 pm

    Problem is, Detroit is NOT slumping, and Oakland is recovering from a slump…not looking good for us in the next week.

  9. ck on September 9th, 2014 10:15 pm

    Medina has lost another game for the M’s. McLendon should finally learn, and stop using Medina in clutch situations.

  10. eddieranch on September 9th, 2014 10:50 pm

    Ms are the 11th highest team in runs scored away from home and 24th best at home. So if we just play all our games away next year, we should be in great shape. Seriously, why can we not build a team to win in our own ballpark?

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