Cult of Doyle update for 4/22
DMZ · April 22, 2007 at 12:55 am · Filed Under General baseball
16 games, 39 at-bats, 5 runs, 9 hits, 1 double, 1 triple, 1 home run, 7 RBI, 7 walks, 5 strikeouts for a .231/.385/.388 line. That’s a decent OPS line, if walk-heavy.
On the Mariners, he would tie Beltre (who has about twenty more plate appearances) for the team lead in walks, and be behind only Johjima in OBP among regulars, with Vidro-esque power.
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23 Responses to “Cult of Doyle update for 4/22”
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For a fraction of the Vidro price…
Too bad we “needed” that “veteran experience” in the clubhouse.
Yeah. . .
c’mon. don’t offer this shit to me, a straight drunk, at this hour. that’s just cruel.
dammitdammitdammit.
#2: Can’t you see the dividends this “veteran experience” is paying on this team. You write as if we’ve lost five in a row or something….oh…
[http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php]
You forgot to mention that he’s doing this while playing in the most extreme pitcher’s park in MLB.
Godspeed, young Doyle,…..Godspeed.
I wish FSN would discontinue Mariners coverage and switch to the Nationals.
OK… I’ll try again to ask this question, which as been haunting me for several years: given the immense advances in statistically estimating individual players in the last few years, wouldn’t it be possible to expect someone to have, by now, crunched a numerical stat for a team’s season prospects?
Right….. I know… this would turn the world upside down. And make betting in Las Vegas a complete war zone. But…. eh?
I mean, nowadays, we look at players in a totally different manner than we did even ten years ago. But teamwise, we’re not much different when we start patching all the players together, than in the fly-by-the-seat-of-our-pants era. Am I wrong here?
Look at the current situation. No matter how many stats can be brought forward to shore up the so-called depth the team has… just a bit of “tightness” in our star pitcher is enough to plunge the majority of fans… even here in statland… into dispair.
In other words… intuition says, we’re much closer to the edge than we want to admit. Thin Ice.
And will remain so.
But… is anybody working on crunching some numbers which would reflect this… ?
Just wondering.
#10 – Derek did just that before the season started. It wouldn’t be too hard to plug in a season’s worth of Jake Woods or some other filler instead of Felix.
Let’s say 200 innings of 5.00 ERA instead of 3.00.
That’s about 45 runs or roughly speaking minus 5 wins. If you think Felix was going to run out at 2.00 instead and the replacement is 5.5 (still lower than current team ERA) then it’s about minus 8 wins.
The psychological effect could be much worse.
#11 – Agreed. Very much so. But I’d argue that exactly what you are pointing out now, wasn’t reflected beforehand. I’m sure you’ll agree that the less depth a team owns, the more sensitive it becomes to — exactly — the psychological effect of injuries or, even, only somewhat lower performances of key players. Derek’s stats would, therefore, reflect that precarity.
On the Mariners, he would tie Beltre (who has about twenty more plate appearances) for the team lead in walks, and be behind only Johjima in OBP among regulars, with Vidro-esque power.
I would actually say that you could argue, based on the small sample, Snelling has better power, given his .154 ISO compared to Vidro’s .111 ISO.
This is kind of interesting: Using PrAVG, PrOBP, and PrSLG, we’d expect Vidro to be hitting .313/.356/.493 given his batted ball types, and we’d expect Snelling to be hitting .331/.475/.490 given his batted ball types.
For as many times as we’ve heard the undefined “veteran presence” and “gritiness,” why don’t we hear about “clutchiness?” This quality, I believe, Doyle has in abundance as well as a total commitment to going all out all the time. I sooooo miss being able to talk about what’s he’s doing everyday.
I can’t even joke about this sort of thing anymore.
Every funny thing I try to type just ends up depressing me more and more about this organization’s complete inability to evaluate talent at the major league level.
Time for a new game thread
Is anyone else’s FSN broadcast of Sunday’s Ms-Angels game skipping / freezing every few seconds?
nope
Looked OK on Directv.
Weaver, oh joy. He got through the first, though.
Rauuuuuul! (you only get the 7th “u” if it goes all the way over the fence) =)
clarification: on Comcast digital cable
A slow runner trying to score from third on Vlad’s arm isn’t the best of odds. But a REEEEAL long shot is not trying anything and actually hoping for a hit with two outs to get him in…sigh
in other words, he sucks too.