Mariner offensive output so far in 2008

DMZ · May 10, 2008 at 9:00 am · Filed Under Mariners 

Mariner run scoring against the league average. It\'s not pretty.

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20 Responses to “Mariner offensive output so far in 2008”

  1. joser on May 10th, 2008 9:04 am

    You know, if you could average out all those runs….

    (My head is in liquid nitrogen and my feet are in flames, but on average I’m just fine…)

  2. skjes on May 10th, 2008 9:21 am

    Is that the total AL average, or just the average minus the M’s?

  3. msb on May 10th, 2008 9:34 am

    now, that’s offensive.

  4. drjeff on May 10th, 2008 9:58 am

    It disturbs me how much that looks like a normal distribution of data. I’m trying to remember all the stuff about kurtosis from grad school and figure out what comes next!

  5. DMZ on May 10th, 2008 10:01 am

    It’s the AL average, just like the label says, nothing fancy.

  6. nwtrev on May 10th, 2008 10:33 am

    On my screen the label says A_ average… but dang, what msb said.

  7. Steve T on May 10th, 2008 10:35 am

    Hey, we’re better than we should be. We’ve scored above the average 12 times but won 14. Nice pitching staff for the most part.

    But: yeccchhh. Four out of the last twenty is not good. It’s almost like we have a roster full of Cairos and Bloomquists.

  8. tgf on May 10th, 2008 10:43 am

    12 games with above AL average runs scored, 25 games with below AL average runs. Awesome.

  9. tgf on May 10th, 2008 10:45 am

    Also, remember when everyone (present company excepted) thought the major off-season need was a #1 starter? Yeah.

  10. julian on May 10th, 2008 10:50 am

    It disturbs me how much that looks like a normal distribution of data.

    Maybe in shape, but it means nothing – a histogram of runs scored might reasonably be normal, but the x-axis here is date, not runs scored.

  11. wabbles on May 10th, 2008 12:05 pm

    So, what you’re saying is that our offense is below average? That we would be better off trotting eight pitchers and a catcher out there? That’s OK, this team’s strength is defense, according to the Evil Rick Rizzs. Seriously, have you compared (or do you plan to compare) our DH (or heck, half our lineup) to what NL pitchers are hitting?

  12. justinh on May 10th, 2008 12:13 pm

    Micah Owings, well hell the whole D-Backs staff, is producing more than our DH.

  13. DMZ on May 10th, 2008 12:21 pm

    Yeah, Dave wrote it up over at Fangraphs.

  14. jspektor on May 10th, 2008 12:25 pm

    3 –

    very offensive, [Mariners] [can’t] be talking about my momma that way

  15. north on May 10th, 2008 12:29 pm

    Maybe in shape, but it means nothing – a histogram of runs scored might reasonably be normal, but the x-axis here is date, not runs scored.

    Yeah, but probably more of a Poisson distribution (unless there is a positive probability of the Mariners scoring negative runs. Was Sexson trying to do that during that bizarre let’s get me suspended incident?

  16. thefin190 on May 10th, 2008 12:37 pm

    Also, remember when everyone (present company excepted) thought the major off-season need was a #1 starter? Yeah.

    I know I warned all my casual fan friends that the team wasn’t that well built and the offense and defense wasn’t good enough to support the good pitching. They actually thought they were going all the way this year, which I told them no, they will just be average at best, infact below the A’s. I wasn’t expected them to implode, not this early in the season.

    I am just wondering, Dave or Derek, with the current team, do you expect the team to even out towards the mean after they break out of the slump, or do you expect them to continue to play this poorly with the current roster construction?

  17. Typical Idiot Fan on May 10th, 2008 2:31 pm

    14 and 23… how’d we ever win 14.

    It’s a miracle!

  18. msb on May 10th, 2008 3:28 pm

    what I learned about the Mariners on the drive home today, and frankly, I thought I’d be safe listening on a saturday …

    a) They have no fire in their belly. I’m not sure what fire in the belly is, or how it gets there, but golly there are a lot of guys who think you need it to win in baseball.

    b) there is no leadership in the clubhouse. Not in the players, and not in the manager. Why, gosh, just look at the Rockies last year, or at the D-backs — they don’t have any more talent than any other team, but they obviously have leadership that tells them they can win.

  19. sbaxamusa on May 10th, 2008 3:41 pm

    Yeah, but probably more of a Poisson distribution (unless there is a positive probability of the Mariners scoring negative runs. Was Sexson trying to do that during that bizarre let’s get me suspended incident?

    Runs are actually distributed in a Weibullian fashion (the Poisson distribution is a special case of the Weibull distribution). You can read more about that at the following two links:

    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/consistency-is-key-part-two/
    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/consistency-is-key/

    Since actual runs are a discrete thing, Derek, it might make more sense to show your plot with the AL mode runs scored instead of mean, but your point is well made either way.

  20. edgar for mayor on May 10th, 2008 10:33 pm

    two of those shut outs are from Texas….wtf

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